The NBA is the Wild West right now with COVID-19 and the league’s health protocols, but that doesn’t mean there aren’t edges to be had. Following a tough week, we sit at 50-49-1 on the season for article plays. Let’s look to start this week strong and get back some of those losses.
Follow along on Twitter — @julianedlow — for what we hope to be another great season, as some plays jump out late due to news, particularly in the player prop market. Here’s what jumps out to me on DraftKings Sportsbook.
If the total points were set at 90 for every game this season, Chicago and Memphis would have hit the over in all 103 of their of combined games...— DraftKings Sportsbook (@DKSportsbook) April 12, 2021
Will they combine for over 90 points tonight? #HammerTheOver
(IL/TN Only) pic.twitter.com/ePAcAOiaH9
The 76ers are a much stronger team at home this season, as this core has been in its time together. But, that’s not to say they can’t grind out a good road win in the right spots. Philly is still 16-12 on the road this season and finally getting somewhat rested and healthy. Joel Embiid and Ben Simmons are good to go, and both Tobias Harris and Danny Green are probable after missing time. Kristaps Porzingis is questionable to play Monday with the Mavs playing on the second night of a back-to-back. Dallas is just 4-6 ATS without rest this season, failing to cover by 5.7 points per game. Luka Doncic has shot particularly poorly when playing for the second day in a row throughout his career, and the matchup vs. the Sixers shouldn’t help. Simmons has locked Doncic down well in their three matchups, limiting him to fewer than 18 points per contest. Give me Philly to pull out the cover on the road on the national stage.
We’re going back to old faithful here. You probably know the numbers by now — the Knicks are an NBA-best 34-18-2 1H. But I think the spot here also suits backing the short number. The Knicks are on the second night of a back-to-back, and the Lakers are coming off an impressive Saturday night blowout victory vs. the Nets. Put all that together and the Knicks are undervalued on Monday. The Lakers may be riding high off that win, but they’re still in the midst of a tough east coast trip and could come out sluggish for this one. The Lakers are just 21-29-3 1H ATS this season and don’t deserve to be in a near pick’em on the road.
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