The NBA is the Wild West right now with COVID-19 and the league’s health protocols, but that doesn’t mean there aren’t edges to be had. We split our plays on Monday and Tuesday, and sit at 61-53-2 on the season for article plays. Let’s look to put together another winning week with some strong spots on Wednesday.
Follow along on Twitter — @julianedlow — for what we hope to be another great season, as some plays jump out late due to news, particularly in the player prop market. Here’s what jumps out to me on DraftKings Sportsbook.
This is going to be a complicated one in terms of when to bet it, and betting it quick, assuming an opportunity presents itself. One of the main reasons to also follow on Twitter for plays is how quickly things can change. Ben Simmons and Tobias Harris have been questionable for this game since Tuesday, but Joel Embiid and Seth Curry have joined them on the injury list. I was able to lock in the Suns at -1, with the idea of hedging if everyone is in for Philly. The spread moved to 3.5 with the Embiid/Curry news, and if multiple Sixers are ruled out, I’m going to lock this one in. The Suns are locked in right now, winning 12 of their last 14, and 11 of their last 13 on the road. A blowout loss to the shorthanded Spurs seems to have woken them up, sparking a big win in Milwaukee this week. If we can back Phoenix against a team missing its top talent, we have to jump at the chance.
More momentum here, riding a red-hot Stephen Curry and what should be an extremely motivated Warriors squad. The Dubs have gone 5-1 straight up and ATS in their last six games, with Curry playing at an MVP level. The Wizards are also hot right now, coming off five wins in a row, but three of them as favorites over bottom of the barrel teams (OKC, DET, SAC). Washington has actually performed better against expectations on the road this season, including a recent victory in Golden State. I expect that to have Curry and the Warriors motivated for this one, already playing better basketball entering this contest. The Dubs are locked in on the defensive end right now, which I expect to make the difference.
We had the Knicks last night, and after a dreadful first half, they took care of business to extend their win streak to seven games with a win over the Hornets. The Knicks have now covered in 10 straight games, yet find themselves as a home underdog against the Hawks. Both teams are actually on the second night of a back-to-back here, with Atlanta the only team traveling. The Knicks opened at -2.5 and this one has moved significantly, but if the Knicks don’t rest anyone, I’d expect their main guys to go significant minutes and have the upper hand in this game. The Hawks come in going 4-1 ATS in their last five on the road, but the Knicks have won both meetings this season by a combined 14 points (with Atlanta relatively healthy both times).
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