It’s the weekend; it’s here, and it’s glorious. There are so many amazing series wrapping up all across baseball, including everyone’s favorite rivalry, Dodgers-Padres, and there are aces popping up in matchups everywhere. With that in mind, here are my best MLB bets to consider on DraftKings Sportsbook.
Crazy, right? Who would have thought just two days ago that we’d be thinking the Yankees might win a series on the road behind this sluggish offense? Well, I think they get the job done on Saturday against Shane Bieber, who has not enjoyed pitching to this team over his career. In his two regular-season starts, he’s the owner of an 8.34 ERA against the Yankees, and in the first postseason game he ever started last year, he gave up seven earned runs in 4 2⁄3 innings. Yikes! I’m encouraged by those numbers; the Yankees should manage at least a couple of runs off of Bieber. I’m even more encouraged at the thought of Gerrit Cole facing a team ranked 26th in wRC+ this year. I think this price has the valid concerns surrounding the Yankees baked in, and while they might struggle this year, they shouldn’t struggle here.
There are sexier names out there than Kevin Gausman and Pablo López, but they have gotten the job done this season. Gausman has continued to be a master at limiting hard contact, while Lopez has flashed some great swing-and-miss stuff. Lopez’s strikeout rate, which is over 27%, should help him against a Giants team that is second in the league in strikeout rate against righties, and Gausman should continue being ever so slightly above average in exit velocity with the Marlins struggling so mightily at the plate. They’re down three starters right now in Jorge Alfaro, Brian Anderson and Starling Marte, and haven’t hit a lick over their past five games — aside from scoring five runs against Matt Harvey, which isn’t very hard to do. The Giants, meanwhile, are just 26th in wRC+ in this split. This total can’t be low enough.
San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers
I’m tempted to fade the Dodgers yet again here with a lefty on the mound for San Diego, but I can’t help but think of all the issues this offense had against Trevor Bauer last time out. The flamethrower struck out seven and allowed just a run on three hits over six innings, but it was the bullpen behind him that blew the lead late. With the big arms rested for L.A.’s pen (aside from Corey Knebel who appeared to get hurt on Friday), I don’t know if that will happen again. The Dodgers, meanwhile, continue to struggle against left-handed pitching, ranking 26th with a 78 wRC+ against southpaws this year after a poor showing in 2020. I like the Padres Moneyline here as well.
All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jetsfan196) and I may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.