Sunday features a full day of NBA action. The action gets underway with three afternoon contests followed by a four-game main slate starting at 7 p.m. ET.
Let’s dive into some of my favorite wagers on DraftKings Sportsbook for Sunday’s NBA slate.
The Blazers have had an up-and-down season. They’re currently sitting in seventh place in the Western Conference, but they’ve also dealt with their fair share of injuries. C.J. McCollum and Jusuf Nurkic have both missed extended periods, and they are arguably the Blazers’ second- and third-best players. The Blazers have increased their Net Rating by 5.5 points per 100 possessions with Nurkic on the court and 4.9 points per 100 possessions with McCollum on the court this season.
The Blazers are now back at full strength, and they should be significantly improved in that situation. They’ve been extremely impressive with their full starting five on the court, with the combo of McCollum, Nurkic, Damian Lillard, Norman Powell and Robert Covington posting a Net Rating of 12.9 points per 100 possessions over 149 minutes. Nurkic recently had his minutes limit increased, so that lineup should play more together moving forward.
The betting numbers also point toward some sharp activity on the Blazers. They’ve received 83% of the dollars in this contest on just 63% of the bets.
Milwaukee Bucks (-6.5) @ Atlanta Hawks:
The Bucks have not been the same juggernaut that they have been the past two seasons, but I’m not sure how the Hawks keep this game competitive. They will be missing Trae Young and their offense has crumbled with Young off the floor this season. They average 10.5 fewer points per 100 possessions in that situation, and they’ve been outscored by an average of 3.2 points per 100 possessions.
The Bucks are playing on the second leg of a back-to-back, but they didn’t need to expend much energy in yesterday’s win over the 76ers. Jrue Holiday was the only player who saw more than 23.7 minutes, and even Holiday played just 27.2. All 15 players on their roster got into the game, so their top players should have plenty of gas left in the tank vs. the Hawks.
Sacramento Kings @ Golden State Warriors (-7.5):
Tyrese Haliburton OVER 2.5 rebounds
The Kings are still technically in the hunt for one of the final spots in the play-in tournament, but they were dealt a huge blow when De’Aaron Fox entered the league’s health and safety protocols.
The Kings have announced that Haliburton will take Fox’s place in the starting lineup, and he should see a nice bump in playing time vs. the Warriors. Haliburton had lost some minutes to Delon Wright recently, but there are more than enough minutes for both with Fox out of the lineup. Haliburton has averaged 3.0 rebounds in 29.8 minutes per game this season, and I would expect him to see at least that much playing time on Sunday.
This matchup vs. the Warriors is also a positive one. They’ve played at the second-fastest pace this season, and they boast the third-lowest team rebound rate. That gives Haliburton more upside than usual on the glass.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is mlamarca) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.
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