The name of this article is MLB Best Bets. So I will give you my best bets to consider on DraftKings Sportsbook.
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Paying a little bit of juice on this one but Burnes has been a strikeout machine in his four starts in 2021. Not only does he have at least nine strikeouts in each one, he’s done so against two teams that rank near the bottom of the league in K% against righties. Both the Twins and Padres are 18th and 27th in K% respectively and Burnes got them to whiff a combined 21 times. Now he faces a Marlins team that ranks 10th in K% at 25.7%. So, what do you think is going to happen here?
Burnes has also been downright untouchable on the mound, having allowed just one run, which was a solo shot to the Twins. Since then, he hasn’t allowed anything since AND hasn’t walked a single batter. His cut fastball, which he throws over half the time, is one of the nastiest you’ll see in all of the major league. I know this one is a bit pricey in terms of the juice but until we see otherwise, I simply can’t stay away from taking the over on Burnes to reach at least nine strikeouts.
We have two teams that have done well in the first five innings facing each other in St. Louis. For as inconsistent as both offenses have been thus far, the Cardinals average just over three runs through the first five, good for fourth, while the Phillies are at 2.57. This pitching matchup between Zack Wheeler and Adam Wainwright isn’t exactly daunting for either side either. Wheeler has really struggled out of the gate, allowing 10 runs in his last three starts. Wainwright, meanwhile, hasn’t allowed a ton of damage but has only gone more than five innings once in his four starts. Wainwright has a .382 BABIP through his starts this season, which to me means we’re due for some regression despite his decent numbers.
I like getting the plus money here against Rays starter Rich Hill. If Hill has done anything consistently all season, it’s that he’s allowed four runs in each of his starts. Hill has not gone deeper than 4 1⁄3 innings in three of his four starts, as opposing teams have jump on him early. Hill is essentially relying on two pitches, a fastball and a curveball. While the A’s haven’t been overly strong against the fastball, they do rank 11th against the curve.
The A’s overall remain one of the better offenses in the league against lefties coming into this game. On the year, they boast a 117 wRC+, a .326 wOBA, a .192 ISO and a 9.5% BB%. Unless Hill pulls a rabbit out of his hat, this should once again be another short outing for Hill and handing it over to a Rays bullpen that leads the league in innings pitched over the past week with 31 1⁄3 innings.
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