Monday features a six-game main slate starting at 6:35 p.m. ET. Let’s go position-by-position and break down everything you’ll need to know to set your lineups.
Alex Wood, San Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangers ($9,800) - This isn’t a great pitching slate, and that’s evident by Alex Wood being the highest-priced pitcher. Wood has pitched very well this season (2.82 xFIP and a 26.5% K rate), but it’s the matchup and the park that put him over the top. Wood is pitching in San Francisco vs. the Rangers (.296 wOBA, .138 ISO, 91 wRC+ and 24% K rate vs LHP.)
Other Option: Kyle Gibson ($8,600)
Martin Perez, Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles ($7,300) - It’s a small slate, and the pitching options are bare — the value options are even worse. Baltimore has a 110 wRC+ against left-handed pitching, but that might be inflated by an above-average BABIP. Their wOBA is average (.323). More importantly, they lack power (.153 ISO and 23% hard-contact rate) and strike out frequently (24% K rate).
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Carson Kelly, Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins ($5,100) - This will be a bullpen game for the Marlins. Unsurprisingly, their bullpen has been below average on the road. Kelly has a .458 wOBA, .286 ISO and a 189 wRC+ this season. With Coors on the slate, paying up for a catcher that does not have an obvious matchup advantage will be contrarian.
Other Option: Buster Posey ($4,800)
Jonah Heim, Texas Rangers at San Francisco Giants ($2,600) - Chasing a cheap home run from a catcher in San Francisco is not ideal, but chasing cheap home runs from catchers is never ideal. Alex Wood is not the pitcher to target on this slate, but a cheap one-off could get it done. Heim has a .286 ISO and 50% hard-contact rate against left-handed pitchers this season.
Other Option: Pedro Severino ($3,700)
Jared Walsh, Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros ($4,200) - He’s cooled down a little in the power department, but his overall stats are still great. Against right-handed pitching, Walsh has a .472 wOBA, .268 ISO and a 211 wRC+ this season. The opposing pitcher, Luis Garcia, has allowed a .369 wOBA and a .311 ISO to left-handed batters since the start of the 2020 season.
Other Option: Jesus Aguilar ($4,900)
Bobby Dalbec, Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles ($2,700) - His wOBA is .251, but his xwOBA is .333, so there should be some positive regression coming. Jorge Lopez has been decent against right-handed bats this season, but he is allowing 2.1 HR/9. Dalbec fits really nicely in a Red Sox stack.
C.J. Cron ($4,100)
EDITOR’S NOTE: Monday’s Padres-Rockies game has been postponed due to inclement weather and will be made up as part of a doubleheader on Wednesday.
Garrett Hampson, Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres ($4,600) - It’s a Coors slate, and the pitching in Colorado isn’t great. Dinelson Lamet has looked good, but he won’t pitch long. Ryan Weathers is scheduled to be the long reliever. The lefty has no business pitching in Colorado because he has allowed a 64% hard-contact rate and a 48% fly-ball rate to right-handed batters. Hampson has a .416 wOBA, .273 ISO and a 150 wRC+ against left-handed pitching this season.
Ryan McMahon ($5,300)
Isan Diaz, Miami Marlins at Arizona Diamondbacks ($3,200) - Luke Weaver is getting beat around from both sides of the plate this season, so a Marlins stack is in play. Diaz has a .369 wOBA, .286 ISO, 139 wRC+ and 54% hard contact in 21 at-bats against right-handed pitching (small sample size due to being Jazz Chisholm’s replacement). Weaver has allowed a .347 wOBA, .261 ISO, 40% hard-contact rate and 2.4 HR/9 to left-handed batters. His numbers against right-handed batters are just as bad, so a stack on either side of the plate is in play.
Other Option: Aledmys Diaz ($3,700)
Rafael Devers, Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles ($5,200) - The left-handed batters for Boston are in a great spot Monday. Jorge Lopez has allowed a .377 wOBA and a .257 ISO to left-handed batters this season. Devers has a .381 wOBA, .313 ISO, 144 wRC+ and 54% hard-contact rate against right-handed pitching. It gets better because his xWOBA is .461, 72 points higher than his wOBA.
Other Option: Alex Bregman ($5,000)
Asdrubal Cabrera, Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins ($3,700) - Third base doesn’t have a lot of value on Monday. Cabrera works in a low-owned Diamondbacks stack. This is a decent offense and the roof could be open. Cabrera has put up solid numbers this season (.356 wOBA and a 123 wRC+).
Other Option: Evan Longoria ($3,600)
Trevor Story, Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres ($5,800) - It’s Story in Coors, What else needs to be said? He’s facing a lefty that is getting hit hard and is allowing a ton of fly balls. Over his career, Story has a .308 ISO against left-handed pitching. That numbers balloons to .396 at home.
Fernando Tatis Jr. ($5,900)
Brandon Crawford, San Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangers ($4,200) - Why is he always cheap? The matchup might explain a little on Monday. Kyle Gibson is having a good season, but Crawford has a ton of power. Even if he doesn’t get to Gibson, he has a great shot against a bullpen that has the fifth-highest HR/9.
Other Option: Freddy Galvis ($3,600)
Trent Grisham, Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres ($4,700) - This price tag is too cheap. Regardless of the hitter, getting an away hitter at the top of the lineup at Coors for less than $5,000 is a steal. Grisham isn’t a nobody, either. He has a .382 wOBA and a .213 wRC+ this season. That’s not all; Antonio Senzatela is allowing a .351 wOBA to left-handed batters and is only striking out 9 percent of them.
Other Option: Jesse Winker ($4,600)
Alex Verdugo, Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles ($4,100) - For just over $4K, DFS players can get a left-handed hitter with a .388 wOBA, .207 ISO and 149 wRC+ against right-handed pitching. Verdugo is facing a pitcher that has a 5.76 xFIP and is allowing 3.0 HR/9 to left-handed batters. The Red Sox stack is cheap and might be more popular than either team in Colorado.
Other Option: Adam Duvall ($4,200)
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