We’ve finally reached the last week of this insane NBA season, with our record on article plays sitting at 78-68-3, thanks to a nice 5-0 run the last couple of nights. This week is going to be tough, with a lot of lineup news expected, to say the least. These cards are tricky, but we’ll try to find some spots that are either meaningful for teams, or open up big opportunities for players in the prop market.
Follow along on Twitter — @julianedlow — for what we hope to be a great end to the season, as some plays jump out late due to news, particularly in the player prop market. Here’s what jumps out to me on DraftKings Sportsbook.
Much like our big win on Portland on Wednesday, Miami is just in the better spot here, and needs this game more. The 76ers sat Joel Embiid in a loss to the Pacers, and he’s questionable for Thursday. Even if he plays, it feels like the Sixers are taking their foot off the gas, and are looking to coast into the playoffs as the one-seed. It’ll take just one more win, and there are some cakewalk games over the weekend for the 76ers.
Meanwhile, Miami clinched it’s playoff spot, avoiding the play-in tournament, but the work is far from done. This team could land the six-seed if it doesn’t keep playing, meaning a first-round matchup against the Bucks. Getting some wins to earn a matchup against the Hawks or Knicks seems like a much easier path, and the potential to land the fourth seed and have home court in the first-round is still on the table. We backed this team on Tuesday in a big win over the Celtics, which put the Heat 6-1 over their last seven. This team is finally healthy, and it’s showing. Jimmy Butler is questionable for this one, but unlike Embiid, he has much more motivation to be out there for his squad against his former team. This is going to be a dangerous team in the playoffs, and one I want to continue backing down the stretch for these important regular season games.
Sabonis has been a beast lately for the rundown Pacers. With Malcolm Brogdon, Myles Turner and others out of the mix recently, Sabonis has finished with stat lines of 16-13-15 (44), 21-20-9 (50), 30-13-13 (56) and 30-8-9 (47) over his last four games. He’s exceeded this mark in six of his last seven games overall, and Indy could wind up even more shorthanded in this one.
Caris LeVert has been added to the injury report with a knee issue, and with the Pacers already having clinched their play-in tournament spot, there’s a chance he could wind up on the wrong side of questionable. Regardless of LeVert’s status or the matchup against the Bucks, I’ll back Sabonis on the three-way prop to continue showing his versatility.
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