Happy Sunday! We’ve got a fully-loaded slate on the diamond to drive away the Scaries. I’ve got my eye on quite a few bets today, but have narrowed it down to three. With that in mind, here are my best MLB bets to consider on DraftKings Sportsbook.
Today will be the continuation of one of my favorite past times, which is fading Jose Quintana in a day game. He has a 4.29 ERA when he pitches in the sunlight, and in general, has been a pretty mediocre pitcher for most of his career. His ERA sits at 9.00 this season and has made it through just 21 innings in six starts. This should be another quick one against an offense as strong as the Red Sox.
Nathan Eovaldi has been spectacular with a 2.17 FIP, and his pitch-to-contact style should make him a great matchup with an Angels team that’s really limited strikeouts and relies heavily on contact. His 33.3% hard-hit rate will champion this game.
Don’t look now, but the Tigers are back. They’ve won five of six, hitting .282 along the way and posting a 117 wRC+. They’ve got one of their stronger pitchers in Matthew Boyd on the hill, and even with Chicago’s success against lefties, he should do more than enough here to keep the Tigers in the game as they mash against Kyle Hendricks.
Hendricks has been one of the worst pitchers in baseball this year with a 6.23 ERA, and the hard contact has shot up in 2021. The righty has never missed bats and has always lived on not walking hitters and inducing soft contact. The walks have been up as well, and it appears Hendricks with his mid-80s four-seam fastball and sinker might not have much time left in the big leagues. This is the value today.
I’ll keep betting on Freddy Peralta as long as the odds stay this amazing. His expected ERA of 1.94 is in the top three percent of the league, which is downright insane. That’s been coupled with a strikeout rate approaching 40%, and a .125 expected batting average. He’s absolutely shoved for the better part of three years now, and a Braves team that’s been inconsistent at the plate over the past few weeks will be next in line.
If you’re worried about Milwaukee’s offense here, consider that Huascar Ynoa has been wildly lucky this year. His strand rate is at 90.9%, his expected ERA is over two runs higher than his real-life 2.23 ERA and his BABIP sits at .221 which is way down from his .273 career mark. His day of reckoning is upon us.
All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jetsfan196) and I may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.