Refer a friend and get $20 DK Dollars! Head to the DraftKings Playbook Promo page for more details!
While chasing goals is fun, this one does have an under feel to it. These two teams played to a 1-0 game yesterday, with Tampa playing their backup in net. With Andrei Vasilevskiy ($16,500 CP; $11,000) now slated to be in net in game two for Tampa, I’m not sure how scoring gets any easier for the Red Wings. The Lightning’s offense has started to dry up with no Steven Stamkos around as they’ve scored three goals or less in nine of their past 11 games. Only two of Tampa’s past nine games have seen more than five goals scored and the Wings enter with the lowest goals per game mark in the league.
Andrei Vasilevskiy, Tampa Bay Lightning ($16,500) The Red Wings have one of the worst offenses in the league and the Lightning have one of the best goalies in the league in Vasilevskiy, so you can kind of see where I’m going with this. The Tampa netminder has won four of his past five starts and pitched a shutout in his last start. You’ll need a monster game here to truly have him pay off his salary, but if we get another low-scoring affair as we had in game one of this series you’ll certainly need one of the goalies in the captain's spot. Vasilevskiy will be insanely chalky but has a great chance at ending up as one of the top-two scorers today.
Jonathan Bernier, Detroit Red Wings ($15,300)
With Tomas Greiss having started yesterday, the Wings will go back to Bernier here. Both Red Wings goalies have been in good form of late and the Lightning offense is still missing its top two players in Nikita Kucherov and Stamkos. Bernier has stopped 79 SOG in his last two outings and carries a .914 save percentage over his past 10 starts into this game. It is possible we get two big games in a row here from the Detroit goalies and going with the veteran in the captain’s spot here is definitely an interesting leverage move in big GPPs.
Victor Hedman, Tampa Bay Lightning ($15,000)
Tampa has only scored more than three times in a game twice in their past 11 contests, so it doesn’t seem like we’re in a spot here for a huge offensive outburst. Targeting a player like Hedman does have some appeal, though, as even in a low-scoring game he can rack up a point or two and get you a bonus in either of the SOG or Blocked Shots categories. It’s the kind of game where every little point should matter, so a minutes eater like Hedman becomes more valuable here.
Jakub Vrána, Detroit Red Wings ($12,600)
If you want to go super contrarian, Vrana likely represents the best offensive player on the Red Wings at the moment and has shown he’s capable of monster outings. The former Capital scored four times in his second game with Detroit and has hit the SOG bonus twice in his past six games. Tampa allows the sixth-fewest goals against, so not many people will be taking this route making him a high-end leverage play today in big field GPPs.
Alex Killorn, Tampa Bay Lightning ($8,200)
Killorn is seeing steady power-play time with Stamkos out and has been one of the Lightning’s most consistent scorers of late. The winger has hit the SOG bonus twice now in his past three games and has three multi-point games over his past 10 starts. Detroit still features a below-average penalty kill, so the Tampa PP1 is something that you should be targeting here. Killorn makes for a good flex play as he isn’t what we’d consider an elite scorer but is someone who could easily find a point or two if the Tampa power play starts to click in this one.
Filip Hronek, Detroit Red Wings ($6,200)
As I mentioned above, the defensemen in this game could be a great source of value if the score stays low as they’ll be less likely to completely bust for you due to their blocked shot production. Hronek only has one point over his past 10 games but has hit the blocked shot bonus and SOG bonus twice a piece over his past 10 starts. He’s averaging over 23 minutes per game and gets plenty of power-play exposure as well, which boosts his upside — even in a bad matchup like this one. Detroit doesn’t have many big producers on their back end, so paying what you need to for Hronek here makes a ton of sense on this slate.
Tampa Bay Lightning
Yanni Gourde ($8,800) - Blake Coleman ($7,400) - Mikhail Sergachev ($8,600)
The Lightning’s first line is going to be very popular on this slate in such a big mismatch, so thinking a little outside the box in GPPs should be encouraged here. Tampa really spreads their scorers around and also has some talent on the back end with Sergachev, who is averaging over 21 minutes per game of late and gets consistent power-play exposure. Sergachev himself is averaging around 0.6 points per game and has 26 assists on the season, so he’s bound to get involved on the scoresheet if Tampa starts to fill the net here.
In terms of who could fill the proverbial net for Tampa, looking to Coleman and Gourde makes sense. The two have been skating on a line together of late and have been in decent form. Coleman specifically comes into this game with three goals in his past four outings and has been a force at even strength where he takes most of his minutes. Gourde typically gets power-play exposure as well, so he should mesh well with Sergachev here in terms of correlation. These three have been some of Tampa’s best offensive producers of late (outside of their top line) and should give you a lower-cost and lower-owned stack in today’s big contests.
21+ (18+ NH). CO/IL/IN/IA/NH/NJ/PA/TN/VA/WV/MI only. Eligibility restrictions apply. See draftkings.com/sportsbook for full terms and conditions.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is wavegoodbye) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.