It’s Tuesday, and that means it’s time to power into the middle of the week with some big winners on the diamond. There are plenty of games to choose from and so many valuable lines out there that it’s hard to pick just a few. With that, here are my best MLB bets to consider on DraftKings Sportsbook.
I have been playing this game with myself all morning. What would this total have to be set at for me not to take the under? I think even at four runs, I’d probably still go under. That’s how bad both of these offenses are at the moment, and the fact that Jacob deGrom is throwing for the Mets should virtually guarantee that one side is held scoreless.
It’s no secret that the Rockies get worse when they go on the road, as evidenced by years of ranking in the bottom five in wRC+ within that road split, but a 61 wRC+ this season and a 3-17 straight-up record away from Coors Field is a special kind of bad. The combination of deGrom and this level of play should mean we see maybe one or two hits out of Colorado.
On the other hand, we have a Mets team that is so depleted that Johneshwy Fargas getting hurt is a big story. A team that already has a .304 wOBA against lefties and is now featuring James McCann in the heart of its order isn’t all that appealing, even if Kyle Freeland has struggled in recent years and is making his first start in some time. I think offense will be hard to come by.
The Tyler Mahle train is back at the station. Is anyone hopping aboard? Anybody??
It was a fun first month or so for Reds fans, who looked at the 26-year-old’s numbers and absolutely fawned over them. What wasn’t to like? A lot of strikeouts and a low xERA. That’s it, research over!
Well, it turns out that Mahle might just be the guy he’s always been in the big leagues. Capable of a great outing, but just as capable of leaving a bunch of balls out over the plate and getting punished by good offenses. Washington doesn’t exactly have the best offense in the league, but the Nationals have posted a 118 wRC+ over the past two weeks and rank sixth-best in strikeout rate. If the Nats are able to take away strikeouts from Mahle, he’s been hurt by quality contact plenty this season and could run into some trouble. And, given the way the Reds have hit lately, a few runs should be more than enough with Max Scherzer on the hill.
Admittedly, I liked this line a lot more when the Astros were the underdogs, but I’m still willing to take this at close to a pick ‘em.
You can talk about Clayton Kershaw’s ERA shooting up over five runs in the month of May. You can talk about the fact that the Astros have hit a league-best .289 off of lefties. You could even bring up Zack Greinke’s very solid season to this point. All of those are reason enough to take the Astros, but I am most in love with how this team profiles against Kershaw.
The tall lefty has struck out 19 hitters over his past two outings, spanning just 12 innings, and has always relied on the punchout. The Astros have struck out just 15.2% of the time over the past two weeks — a ridiculously low number, and by far the best in the majors during that time — and unsurprisingly lead the way with an 83.4% contact rate. No team in baseball has more hard-hit balls than the Astros this season, and no season in the Statcast Era has ever seen Kershaw allow hard-hit balls at such a high rate (37%). I think the Astros get the bat on the ball plenty here and make Kershaw pay. The fact they’re at home just makes this all the more attractive.
All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
21+ (18+ NH). CO/IL/IN/IA/NH/NJ/PA/TN/VA/WV/MI only. Eligibility restrictions apply. See draftkings.com/sportsbook for full terms and conditions.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jetsfan196) and I may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.