The rankings below are based on a mixture of expected output and DraftKings’ NASCAR salaries for that day. The ordering is not based on the highest projected fantasy totals, but rather by the value of each driver.
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1. Austin Cindric ($10,500) - The 2021 championship will be a battle between Allgaier and Cindric. Where it stands right now, it’s Cindric’s championship to lose. Allgaier has finally become elite, but Cindric has been elite for a while and is getting better.
2. Chase Briscoe ($11,000) - If Briscoe would have stayed in the Xfinity Series one more year, not only would this have helped with his development, but he could set the single season wins record. A 20-win season could have been possible against this field. If he’s fast in practice, then this is an SHR car, and this race is his to win.
3. Ty Gibbs ($10,800) - It doesn’t say much for this series when the two highest priced drivers are a struggling Cup driver and a kid with almost no experience. Gibbs can easily score the most fantasy points because his equipment is great and the Xfinity Series competition is at an all time low.
4. Justin Allgaier ($10,100) - Last season, Allgaier was supposed to step up and become the driver to beat, but it never happened. It looks like it’s finally happening for Allgaier. He didn’t win at Dover, but he spent every single lap inside the top 5.
5. Noah Gragson ($9,600) - The JR Motorsports cars have turned a corner. The team found speed somewhere. Now, Gragson needs to find some luck and consistency. He might not win this race, but he could spend some time up front, and sometimes that’s all that is needed in DFS.
6. Daniel Hemric ($9,300) - For those scoring at home, Hemric has participated in 186 NASCAR races and has zero wins. Hemric grew up just down the road from Charlotte in Kannapolis. It would be special to get his first win at home, but at this point, just getting a win would be special enough.
7. AJ Allmendinger ($9,800) - In seven of the last nine races, Allmendinger has a top 5 driver rating. The exceptions are Talladega (6th best driver rating) and a Martinsville race where Allmendinger lost several laps due to a mechanical failure, but still managed to salvage a 13th place finish.
8. Josh Berry ($8,800) - A little over a month ago, it looked like Berry wasn’t going to make it. He seemed destined to be stuck in the late model series forever, but then he won at Martinsville and finished 2nd at Dover and Darlington without one lap of practice. All of the sudden, Josh Berry is the future of the Xfinity Series.
9. Tyler Reddick ($10,300) - For the second week in a row, Tyler Reddick will race for Jordan Anderson. The #31 car made its debut last week and it was hooked up. It’s a stretch to project Reddick to lead a significant amount of laps, but he should be able to run inside the top 10 and possibly take advantage of a late race caution.
10. Harrison Burton ($8,600) - More and more, it looks like Burton doesn’t have it. This is his third season in great equipment counting his season with KBM, and Burton doesn’t look any better than on day one. Every once in a while JGR gives him a magical ride and he wins, but unless he has an absolute rocketship, he needs cautions and luck to win.
11. Brandon Jones ($9,000) - He’s starting to look like the same old Brandon Jones, but in his defense he has looked good at the 1.5-mile tracks this season. He had the third highest driver rating at Kansas and Las Vegas, but the story never changes. Jones needs cautions at the end to win.
12. Ty Dillon ($8,200) - It looks like Joe Gibbs changed the key codes and locked Ty Dillon out of the JGR facilities. It makes sense, Dillon wrecked every single JGR car that he was given. What doesn’t make sense is that Our Motorsports is going to let Ty Dillon destroy their equipment.
13. Riley Herbst ($7,800) - Normally, Herbst is a name DFS players skip over, but this is a different week. Herbst was extremely disappointing last season for JGR and it has been more of the same this season for SHR. What’s the one constant? No practice. The last time Herbst got to practice at an intermediate track was the 2020 Fontana race. He finished 2nd and turned 11 fast laps (5th most). There is practice this weekend.
14. Justin Haley ($7,900) - He has seven top 10 finishes this season, but that means nothing in DFS. Justin Haley is like a good real life pitcher that doesn’t strike out a ridiculous amount of batters.
15. Brett Moffitt ($6,900) - Homestead was the last time Moffitt had a top 10 driver rating. Our Motorsports is the best small team and Moffitt is the best small team driver, but the asking price is always a little too high except this week.
16. Jeb Burton ($8,400) - Justin Haley and Jeb Burton are interchangeable. They have top 10 cars, but they’re not leading laps. With the return of qualifying, it’s unlikely that the Kaulig cars will qualify poorly. That means there aren’t many ways for Burton or Haley to score.
17. Tommy Joe Martins ($5,200) - His car did not survive COTA. It didn’t make it through the Daytona Road Course or last season’s Indy GP. There is a trend here. DFS players can ignore last week’s result because Martins cannot build a road course car. In the eight races before COTA, Martins earned seven top 20 finishes.
18. Stefan Parsons ($5,700) - Bobby Dotter is bringing a second car for the first time since 2020. The Dotter cars were always better than the BJ McLeod cars that Parsons typically raced. The Dotter cars were capable of top 20s, while BJ’s cars often couldn’t finish the races.
19. Cody Ware ($5,900) - The Rick Ware Xfinity car is a DFS NASCAR meme. It’s not great, but it’s better than most small team cars. It can run anywhere between 15th and 25th. Yeley can get it to 15th, but Yeley is never a steal. Ware is more of a 20th to 25th place driver, but he comes with a discount.
20. Dillon Bassett ($4,800) - Before the start of the season, the Bassett brothers bought an RCR car with the hope of competing in the Xfinity Series this season. When Daytona qualifying got rained out, the team got locked out of each race. Last week, Austin Dillon finished 13th at COTA in this car. Dillon Bassett has been a decent driver for Mario Gosselin over the last couple years and a top 20 finish in old RCR equipment doesn’t seem out of the question.
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