The Bruins head into this game 8-2 over their last 10 games. Since getting Taylor Hall at the trade deadline, they’ve been much improved on offense and are averaging 3.8 goals over their last 10. That fact alone makes them a good puck line target here against a weak team like the Devils. Boston has also been a cover-machine of late, with each of their last eight wins have come by two or more goals. New Jersey could also be in for a letdown after a nice series against the weak Flyers. The plus-money here is very much worth taking on for yet another Boston cover.
Svechnikov enters this game averaging 2.7 SOG over his last 10 games and gets a great matchup today for DFS and betting purposes. The Blackhawks have allowed the second-most SOG per game thus far in 2021, and Svechnikov has played 19 mins or more in three of his last four starts since being reunited with Sebastian Aho. It’s as good a good spot as any to be on the over for this prop.
Top Line Stack
Sidney Crosby ($7,000) - Jake Guentzel ($6,700) — Bryan Rust ($6,200)
The Penguins’ top line has slowed down in the scoring department a bit of late, with Crosby having less 6.5 DKFP or less in his last four games. But, the slump has come against two good defensive teams in Boston and Washington, and the matchup with Philly here is likely to be a good tonic for Crosby’s offensive woes. Philly has the second-worst penalty kill in the entire league and allowed the Devils to score 18 times in four games. With all three of the Penguins L1 and PP1 at $7K or less here, the time is right to stack these three for a big bounce-back game.
Ryan O’Reilly ($6,400) — Brayden Schenn ($5,200) — David Perron ($6,000)
Despite the Blues taking a pretty big step back this year, O’Reilly and Perron have turned in nice fantasy seasons and enter a great matchup with Anaheim averaging well over a point per game over their last 10 starts. O’Reilly and Perron have combined for 15 points over their last five starts and will feature on the Blues PP1 with Schenn, who has also been riding shotgun with them at even strength. the Ducks don’t have the horses to stop a top line like this and have given up the second-most scoring chances against on the season. A slate-breaking kind of night from this very affordable trio wouldn’t be shocking in the least here.
Superstar to Target
Nathan MacKinnon, Colorado Avalanche at San Jose Sharks ($9,000)
The massive slate we have today offers no end of talent, but there’s no reason to go away from MacKinnon. The Colorado center landed nine SOG to go with one goal and one assist in his last outing vs. the Sharks and sees San Jose for a third game in a row here. MacKinnon is averaging just under five SOG per game and has the objectively better matchup than Auston Matthews ($9,200) Monday (vs. the Canadiens) and is available at a cheaper price.
The Sharks are likely suffering a little MacKinnon fatigue at this point and have given up the 11th-most scoring chances against and seventh-most shots against per game this season. Their goaltending remains one of the worst in the league, with starter Martin Jones having the second-highest GAA in the league of any goalie who has played over 30 games this year. Despite the talent available, MacKinnon remains the preferred core target.
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Value on Offense
Tim Stuetzle, Ottawa Senators vs. Winnipeg Jets ($3,700)
The Senators offense has been a serviceable source of value of late, with many of its young forwards being available on the cheap most nights. Stuetzle isn’t as consistent as their best players, but the rookie has shown a nice scoring touch and comes into this game with 26 points in 48 games thus far — eight of which have come on the power play. The Jets have just the 18th-best penalty kill in the league and have allowed 4.75 goals against per game over their last four contests. With Stuetzle getting PP1 exposure on a nightly basis, he makes for a great value here.
Anthony Beauvillier, New York Islanders at Buffalo Sabres ($4,400)
Beauvillier is flashing some big upside of late. The winger has four goals over his last four games and is averaging a stout 11.7 DKFP over his last 10 starts. He’s managed 12 SOG over his last two games alone and faces a Buffalo team here who is down to their third and fourth-string goalies at the moment and have allowed 20 goals against combined over their last four starts. Beauvillier gets PP1 exposure and is a decent value at this price, regardless of matchup. He’s one of the best upside plays on a points-per-dollar basis Monday with his matchup.
Mike Smith, Edmonton Oilers at Vancouver Canucks ($7,900)
Smith is coming off a great performance vs. Calgary, where he stopped 29 of the 30 shots he faced in a 4-1 Oilers win. Smith was able to hold a one-goal lead for most of the game, so the win was really on his shoulders. He gets an even weaker opponent today in the Canucks, who have lost four straight now and sit as +175 underdogs on DraftKings Sportsbook, as of writing. Averaging a stout 17.5 DKFP over his last 10 appearances, Smith is a great value at under $8K here.
Tristan Jarry, Pittsburgh Penguins at Philadelphia Flyers ($7,800)
Like Smith, Jarry is an attractive play based on price alone. The Penguins sit as big favorites (-175 as of writing) and the Flyers are coming off of three straight losses to the Devils. Jarry comes into this game playing high-end hockey, going 8-1-1 over his last 10 starts while posting a .929 save percentage during that span. With the Penguins still jockeying for playoff seeding and the Flyers’ season essentially over, Jarry is in a great spot to land you a big night and isn’t someone you have to overpay for, despite being a big favorite.
Value on Defense
Mike Reilly, Boston Bruins at New Jersey Devils ($3,400)
Reilly continues to get consistent minutes for the Bruins on a nightly basis and has become a part of their power-play rotation, which really boosts his upside for fantasy purposes. He’s yet to score as a Bruin, but he has six assists over his last 10 games and gets a matchup against a Devils team that features the worst penalty-kill unit in the league. With Boston scoring more of late and the Devils such a good matchup for a player with offensive skill like Reilly, there’s not much downside in targeting him here at under $3.5K. As long as he stays in the man-advantage mix for the Bruins, Reilly will have good value at this price.
Justin Faulk, St. Louis Blues vs. Anaheim Ducks ($4,800)
The Blues enter this game suffering from injury issues on the back end, and that’s caused Faulk’s minutes to spike. The veteran has played over 27 minutes in each of his last three games and is doing it all for St. Louis right now, including anchoring the Blues’ PP1 with Torey Krug out. Faulk has fired 12 SOG in his last three games alone and has a terrific matchup here against a Ducks team who hasn’t fared well against the better teams in the division this year. Faulk’s increased volume and the matchup make him a great target at under $5K.
Jeff Petry, Montreal Canadiens vs. Toronto Maple Leafs ($5,300)
Petry has now landed five points over his last four games and may be the most consistent source of offense for the Canadiens right now. The team is just middle of the pack in terms of power-play efficiency, but Montreal is facing a Maple Leafs squad that ranks just 26th on the penalty kill. Petry is available at his lowest salary in over 10 games and makes for a great mid-tier value on his own Monday — or as part of a cost-effective Canadiens PP1 stack.
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