Ja Morant, Memphis Grizzlies vs. Utah Jazz, $8,400
Morant has been outstanding in the first playoffs of his career, scoring 47.7 DKFP per game across his past five when we include the two play-in contests. The budding star has logged over 40 minutes in four of these five games, and the hefty volume will almost certainly continue with the Grizzlies looking to tie this series up with a win.
Despite being one of the top defenses in the NBA, the Jazz have had serious issues defending Morant this season, with him amassing 44.7 DKFP per game over six matchups. Targeting the players with the most at stake is always a wise strategy for these postseason slates, and Morant will be one of my core plays for Monday’s Game 4.
Other Options: Russell Westbrook ($11,000)
Mike Conley, Utah Jazz vs. Memphis Grizzlies, $7,000
Even with Donovan Mitchell ($8,000; ankle) back for Utah in these past two games, Conley has dominated with 49.25 DKFP per game. Given this is the postseason, the point guard has obtained 35.2 minutes per game so far in the first round. Compared to his 29.3 minutes per game average from the regular season, this is a massive boost for Conley, and he has topped 40 DKFP 46% of the time he has surpassed the 30-minute mark this season.
Plus, after spending the first 12 years of his career with the Grizzlies, Conley is averaging 48.75 DKFP per game in his two visits back to Memphis this season. This is a very friendly price for him right now, and we must take advantage while Conley remains underpriced.
Other Options: Ish Smith ($4,500)
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Bradley Beal, Washington Wizards vs. Philadelphia 76ers, $9,100
The Sixers have dominated the Wizards in this series and should complete the sweep this evening, but that doesn’t mean we should avoid Beal. Even in the massive 29-point blowout loss Saturday night, the All-Star got up to 37 minutes and finished with 41 DKFP. Beal’s huge playing time appears to be safe no matter the outcome of the game, and with Washington’s season on the line Monday, it’s hard to imagine this changes in any way.
In his six meetings with Philadelphia this season, Beal is contributing 47.9 DKFP per game, and he should return over 5x value in this must-win on his home floor.
Other Options: Donovan Mitchell ($8,000)
Seth Curry, Philadelphia 76ers vs. Washington Wizards, $4,300
Curry played through ankle soreness on Saturday and tallied 27.5 DKFP in 27 minutes of action in the convincing win. Since then, his price has been cut by $400, bringing Curry down to the cheapest salary he has had in seven contests.
In the six battles between the Sixers and Wizards this season, Curry has been very successful with 26.3 DKFP per game, and he is rating as the strongest value at shooting guard following the price drop.
Other Options: Grayson Allen ($3,600)
Tobias Harris, Philadelphia 76ers vs. Washington Wizards, $7,300
Playing up in pace against the Wizards has done wonders for Harris’ fantasy stock so far this postseason. He is generating 43.5 DKFP per game through these first three wins over Washington, equating to an excellent 1.42 DKFP per minute.
Harris has a ceiling well above 45 DKFP if the Wizards can keep Game 4 competitive, and he is almost unavoidable for this two-game slate.
Other Options: None
Royce O’Neale, Utah Jazz vs. Memphis Grizzlies, $4,800
O’Neale has benefited greatly from Mitchell being back in the lineup for Utah. After only recording 14.25 DKFP in Game 1 sans the All-Star, O’Neale has supplied 27.4 DKFP per game in these last two with Mitchell active.
If this was a full slate, O’Neale would be a less appealing play, but with only two games on the schedule, the great wing defender needs to be considered at this sub-$5,000 price.
Other Options: Dillon Brooks ($6,400), Danny Green ($4,400)
Kyle Anderson, Memphis Grizzlies vs. Utah Jazz, $6,200
Compared to only 27.5 minutes per game during the regular season, the Grizzlies’ tight playoff rotation has pushed Anderson up to 34 minutes per game. Naturally, this has resulted in a strong 34.1 DKFP per game for the versatile two-way forward, and his $6,200 price tag is simply too low for a role greater than 30 minutes.
In the 25 contests Anderson has exceeded the 30-minute threshold this season, the 27-year-old is collecting 33.9 DKFP per game.
Other Options: None
Davis Bertans, Washington Wizards vs. Philadelphia 76ers, $3,700
Bertans is a tough pill to swallow right now, but he is a risk that needs to be taken with power forward so thin for this two-game slate. With Wizards head coach Scott Brooks in desperate need of some scoring after Westbrook and Beal, he has started Bertans for these past two playoff tilts against the Sixers. In the first start, the forward fouled out in only 23 minutes, and in the next start, Bertans struggled with his shot but he still gained 31.2 minutes of work.
The end result of only 10 DKFP was frustrating, but we have to expect some positive regression for the 3-point specialist tonight with this type of opportunity. A role of 30 minutes or more has translated to 20 DKFP per game for Bertans this year, and he posted 25.75 DKFP in Game 1, showing us he is capable of a solid outing against this stout Sixers’ defense.
Other Options: None
Joel Embiid, Philadelphia 76ers vs. Washington Wizards, $9,500
Saturday, Embiid was a monster, dominating the Wizards for 57.5 DKFP in only 27.5 minutes, and now, he and the Sixers have a chance to sweep Washington on their home floor tonight. This would be the first time Embiid has swept a club in his career, and Philadelphia’s 119.5-point implied team total on the DraftKings Sportsbook is the highest of the four teams competing Monday.
Whenever the Sixers have been slated for 115 points or higher this season, Embiid has led the way with 52.4 DKFP per game, and the center is a lock for over 50 DKFP in this potential series clincher.
Other Options: Rudy Gobert ($7,800)
Daniel Gafford, Washington Wizards vs. Philadelphia 76ers, $4,300
Without a doubt, Gafford is the Wizards’ best option at center, and he should continue to beat his price tag Monday night. His 27.5 DKFP effort in Saturday’s Game 3 loss was the seventh time in Gafford’s past eight games that he has posted at least 23 DKFP. Plus, it is worth noting that he will be at home tonight, and Gafford has been 4.5 DKFP better on the Wizards’ home floor since he joined the club at the trade deadline.
Gafford is the only viable pay-down option at center tonight, and his $4,300 salary is reasonable for the solid ceiling he brings.
Other Options: None
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