The NBA is the Wild West right now with COVID-19 and the league’s health protocols, but that doesn’t mean there aren’t edges to be had. After a perfect start to the week, we’ve gone for the reverse sweep two nights in a row. It’s been a tough week, but we sit at 70-65-3 on article plays this season and look to finish the week strong.
Follow along on Twitter — @julianedlow — for what we hope to be another great season, as some plays jump out late due to news, particularly in the player prop market. Here’s what jumps out to me on DraftKings Sportsbook.
Coming off a narrow loss to the Bucks on Wednesday, we’ll turn to the hottest team in the NBA to bounce back on the second night of a back-to-back on the road. The Wizards are crushing lately, winning 11 of their last 14, while going 12-2 ATS — both losses by the hook, potentially covering or pushing for you if you bet them earlier in the day. The three losses over the last 14 games are by a combined five points, so while grabbing the +2.5 is enticing, I’d rather roll with the plus-money.
The Raptors have finally put together a stretch of decent basketball, coming out of whatever spiral they were in last month. Toronto is 8-3 ATS over the last 11, but just 2-5 straight up over the last seven. The Raptors’ season is over, while the Wiz are red-hot, battling for their playoff lives on a nightly basis. Forget all the load management from earlier in the season. Washington will play its stars big minutes, and it is now 10-6 ATS on the second night of a back-to-back, covering by 4.1 points per contest.
Washington missed Charlotte’s last game for the birth of his son, and returns to the court with dad-strength, so we have to bet his overs. You probably want more analysis than that, though, so I’ll throw some numbers at you too.
Washington has been crushing over his last nine games, scoring 16-plus points eight times, and averaging 19.1 points during that span. The only outlier did happen to occur against the Bulls, a weird two-point game in just 13 minutes. Washington moved to the bench for a bit in April, but has started his last six games, averaging 20.2 points, and most importantly, playing 35.7 minutes per game. Miles Bridges is going to miss about another two weeks in health and safety protocols, which should leave a massive role open for Washington. This will be PJ’s first game this season without Bridges in the lineup.
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