The Memorial Tournament is one of the few non-major tournaments that attracts the best golfers in the world. The 120-golfer field will host seven of the top 10 this week, all trying to win at ‘Jack’s place.’
The course went through considerable renovations recently, lengthening it by 151 yards. The average green size is 5,000 square feet and features significant undulations, making approach shots into the correct quadrants very important this week. A lot of the greens have been recontoured and rebuilt with substantial changes to the bunkers. Still, this is a second shot course, ill-dependent of the course renovations, and the best ball-strikers who have every shot in the bag will win.
Building a DraftKings Sportsbook betting card this week should feature a wide array of golfers, even though most of the potential win equity is at the top. The average winning odds of the past five winners is +7100, with William McGirt as the longest at +20000 in 2016. The shortest came from Patrick Cantlay at +1800 in 2019. If we expand over the previous seven years, the average winning odds soar up to +13200.
As mentioned in the DraftKings Preview article, Finau’s ball-striking was fantastic last week, but he struggled heavily on the greens. Setting foot on these greens should bring some comfort to Tony, where he’s had two out of his best three putting weeks since turning pro at this tournament. A second-place at Genesis, a 10th at the Masters and an eighth-place at the PGA Championship are elite finishes at high-quality events in solid fields, similar to this week.
Inconsistent Off-the-Tee, Leishman is a bit of a risk this week, but we should consider how well he plays on these courses. Like Finau, we’ve seen fantastic performances from Leishman at the Masters, which is another place that requires accuracy with the irons into challenging green complexes. Adam Scott (+7500) is tempting and worth considering, with how well he’s striking the ball. Still, getting Leishman at essentially the same price we did at the PGA Championship is value, especially for someone who ranks fourth in SG: Total here since 2016.
Coming off the heels of a 17th-place at the PGA Championship a couple of weeks ago, Wise should be feeling confident heading into a tournament where his game can flourish. Wise has two MCs here in his two starts but has excellent finishes at similar courses. Coming into this week, Wise has a ninth at Quail Hollow (Wells Fargo), 13th at PGA National (Honda Classic) and a top 20 at The Ocean Course (PGA Championship). These are a few courses that either fit the classical style layout or require total driving with a skew towards hitting the fairways with penal rough. Over the last 24 rounds, Wise ranks 21st in SG: Tee-to-Green, but 89th in putting. His game on the greens is a part of his game that needs a tremendous amount of help, but two of his best three putting performances came on bentgrass greens (2018 WGC-Bridgestone at Firestone CC, 2018 Shriners Hospitals for Children Open at TPC Summerlin).
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