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MLB Best Bets: Baseball Picks, Predictions, Odds to Consider on DraftKings Sportsbook for June 1

Matt LaMarca gives his best bets on DraftKings Sportsbook for Tuesday’s MLB betting card.

Tuesday’s MLB slate is a large one, with all 30 teams taking the field. Let’s break down some of my favorite wagers to target on DraftKings Sportsbook.

DraftKings Sportsbook Odds Boost

Minnesota Twins @ Baltimore Orioles:

Over 9.0 runs (-113)

The Twins have been a massive disappointment to start the season, but they have started to turn things around. They’ve won eight of their past 11 contests, and they should have chances for a few more wins this week. They have two more games vs. the Orioles – who own the worst record in the AL at 17-37 – before starting a four-game series vs. the Royals.

The Twins were expected to be led by their offense, which was one of the best in baseball over the past few seasons. They should be able to do some damage on Tuesday. They’re taking on Bruce Zimmermann, who has pitched to a 5.15 ERA and 5.48 FIP through 43 2/3 innings this season. He’s given up home runs in droves this season, allowing an average of 2.06 per nine innings. The Twins’ offense should also benefit from playing in Baltimore, which has been the sixth-most hitter-friendly park in baseball this season (per ESPN’s Park Factors).

The Orioles should also be able to score some runs. They’re taking on Michael Pineda, who has been one of the luckiest pitchers in baseball to start the season. He’s pitched to a sparkling 2.62 ERA, but his 4.44 FIP is significantly higher. He’s benefitted from an unsustainable .213 batting average on balls in play, which makes him a prime regression candidate moving forward.

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Miami Marlins @ Toronto Blue Jays:

Robbie Ray Over 7.5 strikeouts (-127)

Ray has had a bit of a career resurgence in 2021. He’s pitched to a 3.81 ERA through his first nine starts, and his average fastball velocity is higher than it has been at any point throughout his career.

Ray was already one of the better strikeout pitchers in the league – he’s posted a K/9 of at least 11.25 in each of the past five seasons – but his improved pitching overall has allowed him to go deeper into games. He’s pitched at least 5 2/3 innings in six of his past seven starts, and he’s racked up at least nine strikeouts in four of them.

He should have no problem generating whiffs Tuesday vs. the Marlins. Their offense has posted the fourth-highest strikeout rate against southpaws this season, and they also rank just 22nd in wRC+. As long as Ray can pitch into the sixth inning, he should be able to get the eight strikeouts necessary to hit the over on this prop.

New York Mets @ Arizona Diamondbacks:

Mets (-120)

The Mets have jumped out to a 3.5-game lead in the NL East, and they’re starting to get a bit healthier. Pete Alonso returned to the starting lineup on Monday and had an immediate impact, launching a home run and racking up four RBIs. Kevin Pillar was also activated off the IL and entered the game as a defensive replacement, while Seth Lugo was in the bullpen for the first time all season. They still have plenty of key players on the IL, but things are looking up for the Mets.

They’re on the road on Tuesday in Arizona, and they’ll be sending one of the most underrated pitchers in baseball to the mound in Marcus Stroman. He does not have overpowering stuff, but he’s pitched to a 2.45 ERA through his first 11 starts this season. He excels due to an elite 54.2% groundball rate, which limits the damage on balls in play. The Diamondbacks rank just 21st in wRC+ vs. right-handed pitchers this season, so this is a strong matchup for Stroman.

If the Mets’ offense can prove that their last two games weren’t a fluke, they’re going to win a ton of games with their pitching staff. This team is undervalued at the moment.

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