clock menu more-arrow no yes mobile

Filed under:

NBA Finals Best Bets: Basketball Picks, Predictions, Odds to Consider on DraftKings Sportsbook for Suns vs. Bucks Game 6

Julian Edlow gives his best bets on DraftKings Sportsbook for Tuesday’s Game 6 of the NBA Finals between the Suns and Bucks.

Follow along on Twitter (@julianedlow) for any updates — things can always change with potential lineup moves leading up to tipoff. Here’s what jumps out to me for Game 6 of the NBA Finals on DraftKings Sportsbook.

All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.

Phoenix Suns at Milwaukee Bucks

UNDER 222 (-115)

After seeing Game 5 skyrocket over the total by about 20 points, I think we’re getting some good value here on an under in a situation that calls for the game to be slowed down. A total of 222 is pretty high for a game of this magnitude. After a Game 3 push on the total and an easy under in Game 4, some unsustainable hot shooting in Game 5 feels like an outlier.

Now these teams transition to Milwaukee in a game that just has the feel of a tight one. The Bucks suddenly have a lot of pressure on their shoulders to close this out at home, which should hurt their scattered offense much more than their defense — which has been efficient the majority of the postseason. Meanwhile, a Suns team that’s suddenly been ravaged by turnovers in key moments, has to do a better job making sure it maximizes each possession in a win-or-go-home game.

This is more of a situational handicap than going behind the numbers, but pace of play and defensive metrics would also suggest this total is a bit lofty due to the high scoring last game. Neither team has been in this situation before, and I expect some nerves to show late in the game. If this one gets off to a fast start, I think the live under will be worth a look, as well.

Refer a friend and get a free DraftKings Sportsbook bet up to $100! Head to the DraftKings Playbook Promo page for more details!

Devin Booker OVER 31.5 Points (-120)

Despite going with the game under, I think Booker continues his hot streak in this spot. The Suns just don’t have many more options to carry their offense. While Phoenix has lost both of Booker’s 40-point performances over the last two, both contests have come down to turnovers on crucial possessions with the game on the line. I don’t think they need to go away from him and look for any balance with everything on the line in Game 6.

Booker’s had a massive 43% usage rate over the last two games that he’s gone for 40-plus points, playing 38 and 42 minutes in those contests, respectively. This could be the type of game Booker barely comes off the floor. Look for him to go 45-plus minutes in Game 6. Booker also seems to have the type of mindset that suggests he won’t back down in this moment.

Pat Connaughton OVER 1.5 3-Pointers Made (-160)

A ton of juice here, but we’ve seen this prop cash in all five NBA Finals games, and it’s become less of a sweat as the games go on. Maybe Connaughton’s due for some regression here, but we’ve seen his role really increase this series, playing 30-plus minutes over the last four. Of Connaughton’s 36 field goal attempts in this series, a whopping 30 have come from downtown. He’s shooting exactly 50%, connecting on 15-of-30. Just riding the hot hand here, and backing a role player at home is generally more comfortable.

Place your NBA bets at DraftKings Sportsbook and bet online by downloading the DraftKings Sportsbook app.

Put your knowledge to the test. Sign up for DraftKings and experience the game inside the game.

All views expressed are my own. I am an employee of DraftKings and am ineligible to play in public DFS or DKSB contests.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) (IL).

Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ/WV/PA/MI), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-522-4700 (NH/CO), 1-800-BETS OFF(IA), 1-888-532-3500 (VA) or call/text TN REDLINE 1-800-889-9789 (TN).

21+ (18+ NH). CO/IL/IN/IA/NH/NJ/PA/TN/VA/WV/MI only. Eligibility restrictions apply. See for full terms and conditions.