It’s Thursday, and that not only means the weekend is around the corner, it means we’ve got plenty of baseball on the docket. I’ve taken a look at the entire card and I think I’ve picked out three winners.
Here are my best MLB bets to consider on DraftKings Sportsbook.
All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
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Kyle Muller could be the best-kept secret in baseball. The lefty’s been pumping a quality fastball and posted a 25.7% strikeout rate in his first eight big-league appearances this season, pitching to just a 2.88 ERA in the process. A .307 xwOBA on contact and splendid .196 expected batting average would speak to the fact that these are not fluke numbers, as would his decent pedigree coming through the Braves’ system.
Muller’s coming off one of his tougher outings, lasting 4 2⁄3 innings against the Nationals and allowing three runs in the process, but that was against one of the league’s best offenses against lefties. Cincinnati ranks 27th in wRC+ to southpaws this year with a brutal 23.7% strikeout rate. The conditions here are perfect for Muller to shove, and the offense should keep chugging against Vladimir Gutierrez, especially with Travis d’Arnaud back.
The Field of Dreams game should produce a healthy bunch of runs, particularly with a field which is playing 335 feet down the lines and 380 to the alleys. While those are respectable dimensions, they aren’t far off from the Yankees’ 318 and 314-foot left and right field walls, and should be good conditions for scoring.
Making matters better, the fly-ball and homer-happy Andrew Heaney will get the ball for the Yankees against one of the best offenses in the league versus left-handed pitching which is also engulfed in flames with the return of Eloy Jimenez and Luis Robert.
The other pitcher here will be Lance Lynn, who has shown some cracks in his game lately. He allowed seven hits and three earned runs against the Indians a couple times ago, and prior to that had been on a bad run with allowing base knocks. He’s also walked three in his last two starts. The Yankees have been making contact and walking, even with replacements in the lineup, and should be able to contribute to the over with some great power bats.
I know, I know. I’m crazy for fading German Marquez like this. Hear me out, though: the Giants are hot again, with the sixth-best wRC+ in the last two weeks, and Buster Posey is a man alive. This team is mashing, and its high-contact and walking ways should hit Marquez right where it hurts, at least for a few runs.
From there, the story should be simple. Logan Webb has been one of the most consistent starters in the game, and the Rockies have been one of the worst road offenses in history. Despite all the momentum in the world entering this road trip coming off some sensational nights at the dish at home last week, Colorado mustered up just one run in Houston against some pretty shaky starters. This should be academic for the Giants.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jetsfan196) and I may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.