Football season is upon us, and that means it’s time to start previewing some NFL divisions from a DraftKings Sportsbook perspective. Below, I’ll break down all the odds in the futures market for the four teams in the AFC West.
Super Bowl Odds: +4500
AFC Conference Odds: +1600
AFC West Division Odds: +600
Regular Season Wins: 8.5
To Make the Playoffs: +110
Week 1 Spread: -1 (at NYG)
MVP: Drew Lock (+6500), Courtland Sutton (+15000)
OPOY: Courtland Sutton (+10000), Drew Lock (+25000)
DPOY: Von Miller (+3500)
DROY: Patrick Surtain (+1400)
OROY: Javonte Williams (+1800)
Aaron Rodgers is not coming to the Mile High city, so it’ll be the third-year quarterback Drew Lock or former Carolina Panthers signal-caller Teddy Bridgewater under center. Courtland Sutton is coming off a 2020 preseason injury that kept him out last season, and Jerry Jeudy enters his sophomore season, ready for a breakout. Tim Patrick has emerged as a viable target in this passing attack. Melvin Gordon and rookie Javonte Williams will lead the running backs this season, with Phillip Lindsay in Houston.
The Broncos’ offense is pouring over with talent, but it feels like their quarterback play could hold them back. Drew Lock had the fourth-worst QBR (out of 35 eligible QBs), and Bridgewater had the sixth-worst touchdown percentage (3.0) last season. The Broncos’ secondary should be one of the best in the NFL, with newcomers like Ronald Darby, Kyle Fuller and rookie Patrick Surtain II. They join Justin Simmons and Kareem Jackson and rank as the No. 1 unit in the NFL, according to analysts at PFF.com.
Super Bowl Odds: +10000
AFC Conference Odds: +4000
AFC West Division Odds: +2500
To Make the Playoffs: +350
Week 1 Spread: +4.5 (vs. BAL)
MVP: Derek Carr (+6500)
OPOY: Darren Waller (+6500), Josh Jacobs (+6500), Henry Ruggs III (+20000)
DPOY: Maxx Crosby (+8000), Johnathan Abram (+15000)
Last season, an 8-8 record could be viewed as a success for the Raider faithful after years of sub .500 seasons. Still, with the Los Angeles Chargers and Denver Broncos healthy and the reigning AFC Champion Kansas City Chiefs looking to avenge their Super Bowl loss, they’ll need to be much better than last season, and get especially more production out of their young stars in the passing game. Henry Ruggs III didn’t see more than five targets in a game last season, and Bryan Edwards dealt with injuries, only catching 11 balls in 12 games. Newcomers like Kenyan Drake and Solomon Thomas need to contribute right away, especially Thomas and this defense. Last season, the Raiders ranked third-worst in total defense and gave up the second-most rushing touchdowns. The Raiders also dismantled their all-star offensive line, one of the few bright spots on this team. With Kolton Miller and Richie Incognito as the veterans, the new OL additions need to gel during training camp to keep Carr upright, something they didn’t do well last season. Darren Waller has back-to-back seasons with over 1,000-yards receiving, and last season’s 107-reception campaign led all tight ends in catches. He’ll need to be a focal point of this offense if they want an opportunity to compete in this division.
Super Bowl Odds: +3000
AFC Conference Odds: +1600
AFC West Division Odds: +450
Regular Season Wins: 9.5
To Make the Playoffs: +105
Week 1 Spread: -1 (at WAS)
MVP: Justin Herbert (+1800)
OPOY: Justin Herbert (+2800), Austin Ekeler (+3500), Keenan Allen (+6500)
DPOY: Joey Bosa (+1000), Derwin James (+2000)
DROY: Asante Samuel Jr. (+3500)
The Chargers find themselves in a familiar preseason position, with arguably the most upside in this division and the entire AFC. Defensive end Melvin Ingram has left for Pittsburgh, but the Chargers get back Derwin James, who’s been hampered by injuries since the start of 2019. Head coach Anthony Lynn has been replaced by Brandon Staley, who projects to bring what Lynn arguably didn’t - creativity. While the coaching staff is inexperienced and young, veteran players like Austin Ekeler and Keenan Allen are poised to anchor this offense and the team. Their stud quarterback, Justin Herbert, won Offensive Rookie of the Year last season and got some help on the offensive line in the draft with Rashawn Slater, who should make an impact right away. Will this be another underwhelming performance from a talented Chargers team? Or will they exceed expectations under a new regime? Signs point to the latter if they can stay healthy, which has proven to be a big “IF” for the Bolts.
Super Bowl Odds: +500
AFC Conference Odds: +250
AFC West Division Odds: -250
Regular Season Wins: 12.5
To Make the Playoffs: -1000
Week 1 Spread: -6 (vs. CLE)
MVP: Patrick Mahomes (+500)
OPOY: Patrick Mahomes (+700), Travis Kelce (+1800), Tyreek Hill (+2200)
DPOY: Tyrann Mathieu (+3000)
DROY: Nick Bolton (+2000)
If you ask Chiefs fans about their Super Bowl LV loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers last season, most will respond with one word: embarrassing. They became only the third team in Super Bowl history not to score a touchdown. Easily put, they got beat, especially on the offensive line. The Chiefs quickly grabbed free agent guards Joe Thuney and Kyle Long this offseason to protect Patrick Mahomes. They also brought in center Austin Blythe, formerly with the Los Angeles Rams, and tackle Orlando Brown Jr. We know the upside with KC; it’s a championship. Mahomes, Travis Kelce and Tyreek Hill are arguably the best at their respective positions. Still, our collective eyes should be on second-year running back Clyde Edwards-Helaire, who averaged a respectable 4.4 yards per tote as a rookie behind what we now know was a bad o-line. Expect him and this entire offense and team to bounce back to their former dominating selves in a division they should easily control this season.
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All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
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