Football season is upon us, and that means it’s time to start previewing some NFL divisions from a DraftKings Sportsbook perspective. Below, I’ll break down all the odds in the futures market for the four teams in the AFC South.
Super Bowl Odds: +2800
AFC Conference Odds: +1300
AFC South Division Odds: -120
To Make the Playoffs: -150
Week 1 Spread: -2.5 (vs. ARI)
MVP: Ryan Tannehill (+2500), Derrick Henry (+5000)
OPOY: Derrick Henry (+700), Julio Jones (+5000), A.J. Brown (+6500)
One of the most significant offseason moves was former Atlanta Falcons stud wide receiver Julio Jones, taking his talents to Tennessee. Now the three-headed monster of A.J. Brown, Derrick Henry and Julio Jones looks to continue what they started last season, which is a high-powered offense. Fourth in total offense and points per game (30.7), the Titans have a great shot at retaining the reigns on the AFC South and heading back to the playoffs this season. Their defense is their proverbial chink in the armor — they’ll be without guys like Jadeveon Clowney and Desmond King this season. Their D gave up 27-plus points per game last season, but their win total is nine, which is too low for a team who went 11-5 and added one of the best offensive threats in the NFL.
Super Bowl Odds: +30000
AFC Conference Odds: +15000
AFC South Division Odds: +2800
To Make the Playoffs: +800
Week 1 Spread: +2.5 (vs. JAX)
MVP: DeShaun Watson (+2000)
OPOY: DeShaun Watson (+5000)
The Texans finished 4-12 last season with Deshaun Watson under center. Now, with his future as a Texan in question, it will be tough to project anything better than bad for Houston. As if that wasn’t enough of a blow to this offense, Will Fuller and Randall Cobb will no longer be in the huddle — Fuller is in Miami and Cobb back in Green Bay. Betting a team to win less than four games is tough, but backing the Texans even with Watson as their Quarterback is even more challenging. Oh yeah, J.J. Watt also left Houston for Arizona, so their defense will have its hands full in the first year without their defensive captain.
Super Bowl Odds: +13000
AFC Conference Odds: +6000
AFC South Division Odds: +550
Regular Season Wins: 6.5
To Make the Playoffs: +300
Week 1 Spread: -2.5 (at HOU)
MVP: Trevor Lawrence (+10000)
OPOY: Trevor Lawrence (+10000)
DPOY: Myles Jack (+5000), Joe Schobert (+6500)
OROY: Trevor Lawrence (+300), Travis Etienne (+1800)
How is Urban Meyer going to do in the NFL? How is Trevor Lawrence going to fare in the NFL with Meyer? There are many unknowns with the Jaguars, but it’s going to be something to watch all season. The Jaguars took two Clemson Tigers in the first round with Lawrence and Travis Etienne, so QB1 will have some continuity with Etienne on the team. James Robinson should still be a factor in the offense, but who knows his usage with the new regime. Second-year wide receiver Laviska Shenault Jr. is ready to take a giant leap forward this season and could be one of the better wideouts in this division with a quarterback and team ready to put up points. Their regular-season win total sits at 6.5, and with unknowns at the QB position for both the Colts and Texans, playing the upside doesn’t sound as outlandish as it would’ve during their 1-15 season last year.
Super Bowl Odds: +4500
AFC Conference Odds: +2000
AFC South Division Odds: +180
To Make the Playoffs: +115
Week 1 Spread: +3.5 (vs. SEA)
MVP: Carson Wentz (+4000), Jonathan Taylor (+8000)
OPOY: Jonathan Taylor (+2500)
DPOY: Darius Leonard (+2000), DeForest Buckner (+3500)
DROY: Kwity Paye (+1000)
If the Carson Wentz injury was the proverbial left hook to Colts Nation, then the Quentin Nelson injury was the uppercut that may have knocked them out. Two pivotal parts in this offense suffered the same injury and project to be out anywhere between 5-12 weeks. As of press time, Jacob Eason has been taking first-team reps and is the starter (on paper). Reports of a Nick Foles reunion with head coach Frank Reich have been thrown around, and any other viable quarterback still available to replace Wentz for the time being. It may be prudent to load up on Jonathan Taylor props, but he might see Adrian Peterson-type eight-man boxes with opposing defenses, knowing the Colts may be one-dimensional as long as Nelson and Wentz are out. Their regular-season win total sits at nine, and there’s a chance Wentz and Nelson could be closer to five games rather than 12; the over for their win total is +120. Still, it’s hard to put any confidence or stake on players returning from an injury. I’d stay away until more news comes out during the season.
Put your knowledge to the test. Sign up for DraftKings and experience the game inside the game.
All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
All views expressed are my own. I am an employee of DraftKings and am ineligible to play in public DFS or DKSB contests.
21+ (18+ NH). CO/IL/IN/IA/NH/NJ/PA/TN/VA/WV/MI only. Eligibility restrictions apply. See draftkings.com/sportsbook for full terms and conditions.