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Top scoring game environments on DraftKings Sportsbook
Quite a bit is up in the air on this slate. Caris LeVert ($8,700) could return for Indiana. Zach LaVine ($8,400) could make his return for Chicago’s game in Oklahoma City. Rudy Gobert’s ($9,200) status is in question again. Those three situations will be examined more in Key Injuries to Monitor — you’ll probably spend most of your time reading this article in that section.
With there being quite a bit of potential for value on this slate, it’s possible for you to pair some of the top studs on this slate. Some of the players mentioned above are options, but Devin Booker ($9,400) is one you have to consider as a pairing option given the environment, Deandre Ayton ($7,800; ankle) likely being unavailable again and the Jazz being potentially more short-handed than usual.
3rd game in 4th night
Bulls, Jazz, Thunder
2nd night of a Back-to-back
Bulls, Jazz, Knicks
1st night of a back-to-back
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Key Injuries to Monitor
Pacers PG/SG Caris LeVert ($8,700) at Pelicans
Jazz C Rudy Gobert ($9,200) at Suns
Jazz SG/SF Bojan Bogdanovic ($6,900) at Suns
Suns C Deandre Ayton ($7,800) vs. Jazz
Bulls SG/SF Zach LaVine ($8,400) at Thunder
With Malcolm Brogdon, Domantas Sabonis and Myles Turner all out, LeVert becomes a great option on any slate. If LeVert doesn’t play, Chris Duarte ($6,400), Jeremy Lamb ($4,000) and Goga Bitadze ($6,200) are all in play. Those three have the highest usage rates on the team when Indy’s top four players are out. Bitadze has been the most consistent performer of the three in the last two games, Duarte has shown the most upside, but Lamb is the most likely to return five-times value since he’s plus-$2K cheaper.
Keep tabs on Duarte and Lamb’s scoring props throughout the day. Duarte has gone over his points prop in back-to-back outings, and Lamb scored 14 in each of those contests. But if LeVert gets the green light, I’ll be looking at his scoring prop, pending any word about a minutes restriction.
Ayton is doubtful, so he probably won’t go. Still, gotta keep tabs there. As for LaVine, he doesn’t have an injury tag because the Bulls played Sunday. But there’s a chance he’s good to go, which would make the Chicago value plays tougher to back.
As for Gobert, he’s not on the injury report yet, but he suffered a calf strain on Sunday. If he goes, be careful about rostering him. If Gobert doesn’t play, Hassan Whiteside ($6,300; conditioning) is a good option down low if the backup big is cleared to play. Should Whiteside sit, Royce O’Neale ($4,800) and Rudy Gay ($4,200) become good value options. But Jordan Clarkson ($6,700) becomes one of my favorite plays of the night if either Gobert or Bogdanovic is out.
Favorite Pick Against the Spread
Worst case scenario, the Pacers go on without LeVert again, and I’m operating under that impression.
The Pelicans have done well as home favorites this season, posting a 4-1 record ATS this season. But they’re without Brandon Ingram (ankle) on Monday. They’re 3-6 ATS with Ingram sidelined this season. They were only favored in one of those nine games, which happened to be the lone game they’ve lost as home favorites this season (108-100 vs. Oklahoma City on Nov. 10).
The Pacers have been heavy dogs in their last two games, but they managed to cover both times — one game being a four-point upset win vs. the Warriors.
Favorite Player Prop
I’m always checking Mobley’s blocked shots prop on DraftKings Sportsbook, but that’s not the one I like most for Monday. Yes, New York doesn’t give up a whole lot to bigs in the way of DFS, but Mobley smoked the Knicks in the first chance he got against them back in November. Now he’s coming off a big-time 17-rebound, 15-point double-double and Lauri Markkanen (ankle) is out. His double-double prop (+205) is appealing, but the over on his points+rebounds prop (23.5) is the way to go Monday.
And as I mentioned in Key Injuries to Monitor, there are Pacers props that’ll be worth checking out. But those calls will be made closer to tip.
Favorite Value Play
Pelicans PG/SG Nickeil Alexander-Walker ($3,800) vs. Pacers
If LeVert is a no-go again, Lamb is right there with Alexander-Walker. When Ingram has been off the floor this season, Alexander-Walker has posted New Orleans’ highest usage rate (27.2%). If Devonte’ Graham (questionable, ankle) is also off the floor, Alexander-Walker’s usage rate jumps up to 30.8%. When those two are off the floor, he’s posted 0.86 DKFP per minute this season. Oddly enough, when it’s just Ingram off the floor, he posts just a tick more DKFP per minute (0.87). Regardless of what happens with Graham, you know what you’re getting from Alexander-Walker on Monday.
Thunder PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ($9,000) vs. Bulls
I was leaning toward DeMar DeRozan ($9,100) initially, but even on a minutes restriction, LaVine can cut into some of DeRozan’s usage. SGA is coming off back-to-back strong performances, and he’s returned five-times value on this price tag in five of his last seven. OKC has struggled quite a bit since upsetting Brooklyn, but the Thunder point guard has shown that’s a non-issue for him from a fantasy standpoint, posting 57.25 DKFP when his team only scored 87 points vs. the Cavs.
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