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NBA Picks for March 11: Basketball Best Bets, Predictions, Odds on DraftKings Sportsbook

Stan Son gives his best bets on DraftKings Sportsbook for today’s NBA betting card.

We have 10 NBA games to choose from on Friday. There are three games with a total of at least 230 on DraftKings Sportsbook: MIN/ORL (232.5), NY/MEM (230) and UTA/SA (230). BOS is the biggest favorite at 13.5 points over DET while DAL is at 10.5 points over HOU. There is one game with a spread of three points or lower: CHA -2 over NO.

For full transparency, I am filling in for Julian — the betting guru — so to Costanza the Son could be the path of most profits.

Let’s dive into some of my favorite NBA wagers for this slate.

All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.


Minnesota Timberwolves @ Orlando Magic

MIN -7.5 (-110)

The Timberwolves are 8-2 in the last 10 games and have won the last six games, covering ATS in all of them. They have been double-digit favorites in the most recent four games and have covered ATS in all of them. On the season, they are seventh in offensive rating and 11th in defense. The Magic are 7-23 at home compared to 10-27 on the road. They are 29th in offensive rating and 20th in defense. On the season, MIN is 18-15 ATS on the road while ORL is 10-20 ATS at home.


Dallas Mavericks @ Houston Rockets

DAL -10.5 (-110)

Houston has some things going for it. They are 4-1 ATS in the last five home games, and when they have been double-digit underdogs, they have a record of 11-6 ATS. That said, Dallas is coming off a 30-point drubbing at home. I expect them to bounce back in a big way. They are sixth in defensive rating while the Rockets are dead-last. In two games this season, Dallas has won 130-106 and 116-106. Dallas has covered ATS at the fifth-best rate this season while Houston is 28th.


New Orleans Pelicans vs. Charlotte Hornets

NO +2 (-110)

Something is very fishy about this line. The Pelicans will be without both CJ McCollum and Brandon Ingram, yet they are only 1.5-point dogs. I would’ve expected this line to be much bigger for the Hornets. Usually, it’s a good thing to trust the gut and eschew the numbers in this situation. Let’s see what happens.


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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is sontzu) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skill and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.


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