clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

NBA Picks, Betting Trends: DraftKings Sportsbook Odds, Basketball Best Bets, Predictions for April 19

Julian Edlow provides NBA betting trends along with his best bets on DraftKings Sportsbook for April 19.

Follow along on Twitter (@julianedlow) for any potential updates — things can always change with lineup moves leading up to tipoff. Here’s what jumps out to me on DraftKings Sportsbook.

All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.


Per usual, I’ll put everything official up on Twitter that I bet on personally. This is a betting guide for this NBA card, and anything I’ve actually bet will include a unit amount.


NBA Parlay Boost

Get a 25% profit boost on any 3-leg NBA parlay tonight! Opt in at the DraftKings Sportsbook Promos page!


Best Bets

Atlanta Hawks at Miami Heat

New Orleans Pelicans at Phoenix Suns

Chicago Bulls at Milwaukee Bucks (Wednesday)

MIA/PHX/MIL ML Parlay (-119) — 1.5-units

We don’t really get a chance at these chalk parlays in the latter rounds when games get a little bit more predictable, but the first-round does offer some spots that we can use these. Both Milwaukee and Phoenix controlled Game 1 at home, and are heavy favorites to move on to the next round in five games or less. We’ll see what happens in terms of potentially splitting games on the road, but neither should lose a home game in this series. We may not get another chance to use them as a parlay piece at home, so I’m essentially using them to bypass laying the points with the Heat. And if either do wind up back at home in a Game 5 to clinch the series, it’ll likely be another spot we can back them.

Miami dominated Atlanta in Game 1, and while we should expect a better effort from the Hawks, it appears they’re overmatched here. The injury to Clint Capela is a big deal, leaving an even larger edge to the Heat. Maybe Miami can’t quite limit Atlanta as well as they did from the field in Game 1, but the Hawks also made 12 more free throws than the Heat and still lost by 24. Those numbers should also even out going forward. Expect Miami to roll again — I’m fine laying the points here if you don’t want a parlay that spans another day.


Minnesota Timberwolves at Memphis Grizzlies

MEM 1Q TT OVER 31.5 (-105) — 1.5-units

I said this wouldn’t be a spot we can auto-play each game like we did in the regular season, and I do mean it. But we cashed this play in Game 1, and Game 2 gives us another terrific spot to back Memphis in the early going. If you’re unfamiliar with the trend, the Grizz went on a 25-5 run to this prop towards the end of the regular season, and the matchup against Minnesota should dictate a lot of points — as we saw on Saturday. But the spot is also terrific, with the Grizzlies dropping Game 1 at home. They need to come out with urgency in this game, as they absolutely cannot afford to be in a 2-0 hole heading on the road.




Place your NBA bets at DraftKings Sportsbook or by downloading the DraftKings Sportsbook app.


Put your knowledge to the test. Sign up for DraftKings and experience the game inside the game.


All views expressed are my own. I am an employee of DraftKings and am ineligible to play in public DFS or DKSB contests.


The contents contained in this article do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skill and judgment.


If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) (IL/IN/MI/NJ/PA/WV/WY), 1-800-NEXT STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO/NH), 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org/chat (CT), 1-800-BETS OFF (IA), 1-877-770-STOP (7867) (LA), 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY), visit OPGR.org (OR), call/text TN REDLINE 1-800-889-9789 (TN), or 1-888-532-3500 (VA).

21+ (18+ NH/WY). Physically present in AZ/CO/CT/IL/IN/IA/LA/MI/NH/NJ/NY/OR/PA/TN/VA/WV/WY only. Eligibility restrictions apply. See draftkings.com/sportsbook for full terms and conditions.