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NBA Betting, Fantasy Advice: DraftKings Basketball DFS Picks, Predictions, Odds for April 6

Stan Son breaks down today’s NBA slate with game analysis, odds, lines and prop bets.

The NBA Cheat Sheet doesn’t require a magnifying glass to view the contents. It doesn’t need to be hidden from a proctor. Just point, click and scroll for an in-depth look at Wednesday’s NBA slate, featuring DraftKings DFS and Sportsbook picks.

Follow along on Twitter (@dklive) for updates.


Top scoring game environments on DraftKings Sportsbook

Wizards @ Hawks - 234
Nets @ Knicks - 229.5
Suns @ Clippers - 226.5

Over the last 15 games, the Hawks have been ninth in offensive pace, sixth in offensive rating and 17th in defensive rating. On the season, they have been a much better team at home, averaging 116.6 points per game (2nd in NBA) compared to 110.8 on the road (10th). The Wizards have been only 15th in offensive pace but they will likely have to keep up with the Hawks in this one. Their 24th-ranked defense should also make it easy for Atlanta to score. Add it all up and this game has the highest total on the slate.

The Nets and Knicks game is an interesting one. The Knicks have been playing at the 25th-slowest pace over the last 15 games while boasting the fifth-ranked defense. The Nets have been playing at the 10th-fastest pace and have had the second-best offense. Hallelujah, Kyrie! In three meetings this season, the totals were 217, 217 and 222.

As with the battle for New York, the Suns and Clippers have a similar divergence in terms of offensive pace. Over the last 15 games, the Suns have been fourth in offensive pace and ninth in offensive rating. They have also boasted the third-best defense over that span. The Clippers have been 29th in offensive pace. They have been 26th in defensive rating. In the prior three meetings for these teams, the totals were 199, 195 and 206. Paul George did not play in any of those games so he should provide an offensive boost.


Set your DraftKings fantasy basketball lineups here: NBA $300K Shootaround [$100K to 1st]


Scheduling Notes

2nd night of a back-to-back

Nets, Wizards, Hawks, Bulls, Thunder, Jazz, Suns

1st night of a back-to-back

Celtics


Key Injuries to Monitor

Celtics SF/PF Jayson Tatum ($10,100) and SG/SF Jaylen Brown ($8,700) @ Bulls

Both Tatum and Brown are probable, so this is a 1 on the worry monitor scale. They are the only players of significance on the injury report, though. If for some reason they don’t play, then Derrick White ($5,500), Marcus Smart ($5,900) and Payton Pritchard ($3,900) would see an increase in usage rate.


Favorite Pick Against the Spread

Pistons +8.5 vs. Mavericks - (-110)

The Mavericks are a really good team, especially ATS. On the season, they have the fourth-best mark and eight-best cover rate on the road. The Pistons haven’t been good for much of the season but they’ve picked it up lately. Over the last 15 games, they have had the sixth-best defense and have won three straight, with one of those being against the 76ers. More importantly for our purposes, they have covered ATS in the last five games. Over the last 22 games, they have been 19-3 ATS.


Place your NBA bets at DraftKings Sportsbook or by downloading the DraftKings Sportsbook app.


Favorite Player Prop

K. Irving: 5+ Threes Made - (+300)

Yes, I’m a sucker for these special bets. What can I say? Over the last seven games, Irving has averaged 40.5 minutes and 10.3 three-pointers a game, making 4.4. In the last two games, he’s attempted 16 and 14 while making 8 and 7 respectively. On the season, the Knicks have allowed the seventh-most three-point attempts per game. Now, they have been pretty good at neutralizing the efficiency, as they have been sixth-best in three-point percentage, but I’m going with the volume heat check with Kyrie here.


Favorite Value Play

Thunder PG Zavier Simpson ($3,000) @ Jazz

Simpson received the start on Tuesday and played 44 minutes, contributing 10 points, three rebounds, five assists, one steal and two blocks. That was good for 26.3 DKFP. He should get the start again and play a ton of minutes as the commander of Operation Tank, and minutes are half the battle. Yo, Joe! He’s also priced at the minimum. Yo, Zavier!


Favorite Stud

Mavericks PG Luka Doncic ($12,000) @ Pistons

Over the last six games, Doncic has scored at least 50 DKFP in each contest with two above 70. He’s performed in close games, blowouts, on the road and at home. In a 32-point drubbing by the Wizards, he played 37 minutes while in an 18-point win over the Lakers, Doncic received 30 minutes of run. The usage rate has been over 40% in four of those contests and he’s scored at least 30 points in five straight. Doncic is a threat to triple-double on any given night and I do think the Pistons can make this a competitive affair, which is a good thing for the fantasy prospects of Doncic.


Set your DraftKings fantasy basketball lineups here: NBA $300K Shootaround [$100K to 1st]


Place your NBA bets at DraftKings Sportsbook or by downloading the DraftKings Sportsbook app.


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All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.


I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is sontzu) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skill and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.


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