DraftKings contributors Steve Buchanan and Garion Thorne, along with RotoWire’s Erik Halterman, join The Sweat to give their favorite DraftKings value plays for Thursday’s MLB slate.
Watch Thursday’s entire episode of The Sweat below!
Let’s go with Clint Frazier at $2,300. Hasn’t gotten to play all that much this season. Been exactly a league-average hitter in 34 played appearances. But in four games since returning from appendicitis — which, if anybody needed another strange medical malady, it was definitely Clint Frazier. Hasn’t had it hard enough so far in his career.
But in four games since his return, 3-for-7 with three walks and a steal. So, he’s been hitting well. He’s been in the lineup against every lefty, so he should be there against Matthew Liberatore, who is an interesting prospect but not the tier of prospect where you think he’s going to immediately take over and be this pitcher you don’t want to use anybody against. He’s got one bad start and one good one so far.
I don’t know if there’s enough about Frazier to say that he’s definitely a strong hitter, but I think he’s a competent one. Got a 110 wRC+ since the start of the 2020 season. That kind of hitter at $2,300, I think, is a great deal, and I wouldn’t pass it up here.
I’m going to go with Jesse Winker. At some point, I think, it has to turn around. I mean, it has to, right? Mariners fans probably think they’re cursed at this point. But, Winker’s expected wOBA is about 80 points higher than his actual wOBA. He’s hitting the ball well, he’s just not finding the holes right now.
Still, the Mariners have been batting him leadoff against right-handed pitching in the last couple of weeks. So, I think that’s a huge boost to his value at $3,800.
Also a boost to his value, the presence of Jordan Lyles, who has struggled immensely with left-handed bats so far this season — .511 slugging percentage, .382 wOBA to opposing left-handed bats.
I’m just gonna keep saying Jesse Winker is going to break out of this at some point. Hopefully, it’s tonight.
Guys in the bottom of the lineup (are not) something I’m usually looking for, but Trent Grisham, since he’s moved down in the order, (it) feels like he’s actually hitting better than when he was hitting leadoff. And he’s got a good matchup tonight against Adrian Houser.
Obviously, we can’t bank on a ton of at-bats against him because he’s in the lower part of the order, but what I do like is that with men on base, Grisham is hitting almost .300 in that scenario. So, hitting that low in the order with how good the hitters are above him puts him in a good spot here.
Houser has not been good against lefties, so I think this is really an intriguing spot for someone who has some pretty poor numbers overall but, as of late, has been hitting better, averaging nine DraftKings fantasy points over his last five games — two of those games, 18 DraftKings fantasy points logged.
It’s not usual that I’m going this low in the order, but Grisham has been hitting well, and he’s in a good matchup tonight. Him at under that $3K range — at $2,300 — is a good spot for him tonight.
Erik’s Pick: Clint Frazier ($2,300)
Garion’s Pick: Jesse Winker ($3,800)
Steve’s Pick: Trent Grisham ($2,300)
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