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What betting splits, DFS advice tell us about Dawson vs. Narimani at UFC Fight Night

We break down the last minute bet splits and make some DFS picks for Grant Dawson vs. Nad Narimani at UFC Fight Night.

Opponents Grant Dawson and Nad Narimani of England face off during the UFC Fight Night weigh-in inside Flash Forum on UFC Fight Island on July 17, 2020 in Yas Island, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. Photo by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images

Update 3:15 p.m.: While the betting has moved a tiny amount in Nad Narimani’s direction, it appears the bookmakers are still anticipating more to come as the line hasn’t moved from previous pricing with less than two hours before the start of UFC Fight Night.

Updated betting splits

Grant Dawson: -250 (91% of action, 79% of bets)
Nad Narimani: +195 (9% of action, 21% of bets)

A catchweight bout between two fighters that have competed at featherweight and lightweight will split the difference when Grant Dawson takes on Nad Narimani at 150 lbs. on UFC Fight Night tonight on ESPN+.

Dawson is a prospect at 15-1 with a 3-0 record in the UFC with two submissions. He’s averaged 5.09 takedowns per 15 minutes in the octagon with 48% accuracy, and also outstrikes his opponents 3.48 to 2.15 per minute. His win over Darrick Minner in his last outing was during Benavidez vs. Figueiredo 1 on February 29th, a rear-naked choke victory for the 26-year-old from Nebraska. 14 of his 15 wins have been via stoppage, 11 via submission.

Dawson is fighting on Fight Island, so his failed test for PED’s previously doesn’t matter for licensure.

Narimani is 12-3, 2-1 in the UFC. His loss to Mike Grundy in March, which was his first UFC defeat after a pair of decision wins over Khalid Taha and Anderson dos Santos. He’s not afraid of the mat either, completing 2.64 takedowns per 15 minutes with a 41% accuracy, and five submissions along with two knockouts in his career. The 33-year-old from Bristol, England fights out of Team Alpha Male in Sacramento.

Here are the betting odds and bet splits at DraftKings Sportsbook for Grant Dawson vs. Nad Narimani at UFC Fight Night from Fight Island on July 18th:

Betting splits

Grant Dawson: -250 (92% of action, 86% of bets)
Nad Narimani: +195 (8% of action, 14% of bets)

Here are the DraftKings DFS salaries for Grant Dawson vs. Nad Narimani tonight:

DraftKings DFS Salaries

Grant Dawson: $8,900
Nad Narimani: $7,300

Being less than $600 over par value is good for a fighter with Dawson’s activity and stopping ability. He’s a favorite on the money line and with the sharp action early, and his activity makes him a buy at this low a price. Having Dawson on some rosters should reap rewards this evening.

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