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What betting splits, DFS advice tell us about Ramos vs. Tsarukyan at UFC Fight Night

We break down the last minute bet splits and make some DFS picks for Davi Ramos vs. Arman Tsarukyan at UFC Fight Night.

Opponents Davi Ramos of Brazil and Arman Tsarukyan of Armenia face off during the UFC Fight Night weigh-in inside Flash Forum on UFC Fight Island on July 17, 2020 in Yas Island, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. Photo by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images

Update 2:35 p.m.: As we get closer to fight time, it appears Arman Tsarukyan is taking on a bit more action, but for sure more people are backing him with a 7% increase in tickets. Also the bet splits indicate most people think the Russian will need the scorecards to win it.

Updated Betting splits

Davi Ramos: +160 (18% of action, 34% of bets)
Arman Tsarukyan: -200 (82% of action, 66% of bets)

Winning Method Splits

Ramos vs. Tsarukyan Winning Method

Winning Method Odds % Handle % Bets
Winning Method Odds % Handle % Bets
Arman Tsarukyan By Decision -125 40% 45%
Arman Tsarukyan By KO, TKO or DQ +800 36% 2%
Davi Ramos By Decision +400 15% 48%
Davi Ramos By Submission +400 8% 5%
Arman Tsarukyan By Submission +1100 1% < 1%
Davi Ramos By KO, TKO or DQ +1200 < 1% < 1%
Tie +5000 < 1% < 1%

A pair of lightweights that aren’t afraid of grappling battle this evening when Davi Ramos faces Arman Tsarukyan at UFC Fight Night on ESPN in Abu Dhabi on Fight Island. But should this fight be on your fantasy roster?

Ramos is 10-3 overall, 4-2 in the UFC. All his losses have needed the judges, but has dished out seven submissions and a knockout. “The Tasmanian Devil” from Rio de Janeiro is a BJJ fighter, averaging 2.42 takedowns per 15 minutes with a 50% accuracy. In six UFC fights, he’s never been taken down himself

But that might change tonight as the Russian Tsarukyan is favored and 14-2 overall, 1-1 in the UFC. He’s averaged 1.5 takedowns per 15 minutes, and this looks like it’s heading for the floor. Tsarukyan does have five submissions and five takedowns in his two-match octagon career.

Here are the betting odds and bet splits at DraftKings Sportsbook for Davi Ramos vs. Arman Tsarukyan at UFC Fight Night from Fight Island on July 18th:

Betting splits

Davi Ramos: +160 (19% of action, 41% of bets)
Arman Tsarukyan: -200 (81% of action, 59% of bets)

Here are the DraftKings DFS salaries for Davi Ramos vs. Arman Tsarukyan tonight:

DraftKings DFS Salaries

Davi Ramos: $7,500
Arman Tsarukyan: $8,700

During his four-match win streak from 2017-19, Ramos did average 101.5 DFS points during those victories. He mostly did so via submission, though he did land 63 significant strikes once. But he’s not likely to win this bout via the oddsmakers, and Tsarukyan just isn’t friendly towards fantasy players with a 37.5 points average in his two graded fights. He also went the distance in both, which isn’t what fantasy players want to see.

This one is a grapple-show and might need all 15 minutes, so it’s an avoid for fantasy.

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