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What betting splits, DFS advice tell us about Craig vs. Antigulov at UFC Fight Night

We break down the last minute bet splits and make some DFS picks for Paul Craig vs. Gadzhimurad Antigulov at UFC Fight Night.

Opponents Paul Craig of Scotland and Gadzhimurad Antigulov of Russia face off during the UFC Fight Night weigh-in inside Flash Forum on UFC Fight Island on July 24, 2020 in Yas Island, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. Photo by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images

Update 4:05 p.m.: It appears most of the late money has come in on the favored Whittaker as we get closer to fight time. Here are the updated money line bet splits:

Paul Craig: Opened -112, now -137 (83% of handle, 69% of bets)
Gadzhimurad Antigulov: Opened -112, now +110 (17% of handle, 31% of bets)

A winning method table below is also added.

Paul Craig and Gadzhimurad Antigulov opened as a dead-even fight according to the oddsmakers for UFC on ESPN 14 tonight on Fight Island, but the Scotsman Craig has been getting most of the action, and is now a decent-sized favorite heading into tonight’s action.

Craig is 4-4-1 in the UFC but undefeated outside of it, with 11 of his 12 career wins via submission. “Bearjew” is 32 years of age out of Coatbridge and has one of the most interesting career stat lines in the promotion: Just 2.33 strikes per minute with a 21% accuracy rating on his 1.65 takedowns. But his last fight in November of last year against fellow competitor on Saturday’s card Mauricio “Shogun” Rua was the first time he ever needed the scorecards in what was a split decision draw.

Antigulov is 33 that doesn’t fight for a long time, but a good time. His 20-6 record has used judging only once, and 15 of his victories are via submission. During his last eight fights, he’s seen the second round just once. He had six wins in a row until losing his last two to Ion Cutelaba and Michal Oleksiejczuk. He’s 2-2 in the UFC, but has spent only 8:37 fighting in the octagon.

Here are the latest betting odds at DraftKings Sportsbook for Paul Craig vs. Gadzhimurad Antigulov at UFC Fight Night from Fight Island on July 25th:

Money line odds with betting splits

Paul Craig: Opened -112, now -137 (85% of handle, 66% of bets)
Gadzhimurad Antigulov: Opened -112, now +110 (15% of handle, 34% of bets)

Winning method

Craig-Antigulov Winning Method

Method Odds % Handle % Bets
Method Odds % Handle % Bets
Gadzhimurad Antigulov by KO, TKO or DQ +300 19% 16%
Gadzhimurad Antigulov by Decision +700 6% 5%
Gadzhimurad Antigulov by Submission +500 14% 11%
Paul Craig By Decision +550 5% 7%
Paul Craig By KO, TKO or DQ +450 13% 25%
Paul Craig By Submission +185 43% 36%

DraftKings DFS Salaries

Here are the DraftKings DFS salaries for Paul Craig vs. Gadzhimurad Antigulov tonight:

Paul Craig: $8,000
Gadzhimurad Antigulov: $8,200

Although the action is coming in on Craig, the fantasy play here is Antigulov or pass. In his two UFC wins he scored 99 and 98 DFS points. The losses? 24 points combined.

This might be quick, and if Antigulov does win, you’ll likely need to have him on your roster. You can live without Craig most likely, but even as a slight underdog the Russian is a must have for a winning combination if he ends this early.

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