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What betting splits, DFS advice tell us about Dalby vs. Ronson at UFC Fight Night

We break down the last minute bet splits and make some DFS picks for Nicolas Dalby vs. Jesse Ronson at UFC Fight Night.

Opponents Nicolas Dalby of Denmark and Jesse Ronson of Canada face off during the UFC Fight Night weigh-in inside Flash Forum on UFC Fight Island on July 24, 2020 in Yas Island, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. Photo by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images

Update 4:25 p.m.: As we get closer to the card beginning, these bet splits have barely moved and the odds haven’t at all. Here are the updated money line bet splits:

Nicolas Dalby: Opened -265, now -265 (96% of handle, 92% of bets)
Jesse Ronson: Opened +205, now +205 (4% of handle, 8% of bets)


On a welterweight-heavy card, two fighters that have been dropped by the UFC previously get back in the octagon tonight when Denmark’s Nicolas Dalby faces Canada’s Jesse Ronson at UFC on ESPN 14 from Fight Island in Abu Dhabi.

Dalby is back in the UFC after a 1-2-1 stint in the promotion from 2015-16. He won his return via unanimous decision win over Alex Oliveira last September, and was in the Cage Warriors promotion while away. The Norwegian has gone the distance in every win and loss in a UFC octagon. He landed 31 strikes and a takedown in his win over Oliveira, with four passes on the mat.

Ronson is 21-10, and comes back to the black octagon at 34 years of age. He was 0-3 in his first stint from 2013-14, brutally losing by split decision three times. The London, Ontario native has won six of his last eight fights, five of them by stoppage. During his first stint in the league he averaged 3.09 strikes per minute and 0.67 takedowns per 15 minutes of cage time.

Here are the latest betting odds at DraftKings Sportsbook for Nicolas Dalby vs. Jesse Ronson at UFC Fight Night from Fight Island on July 25th:

Money line odds with betting splits

Nicolas Dalby: Opened -265, now -265 (95% of handle, 91% of bets)
Jesse Ronson: Opened +205, now +205 (5% of handle, 9% of bets)

DraftKings DFS Salaries

Here are the DraftKings DFS salaries for Nicolas Dalby vs. Jesse Ronson tonight:

Nicolas Dalby: $9,200
Jesse Ronson: $7,000

Dalby is the big-price favorite but in his last fight, a win, he scored only 68 DFS points and had just 31 strikes. Ronson lost his three previous graded fights via very close decisions, but still never managed to score 30 points in defeat.

We have our Fantasy Poison fight on the card. Run screaming from this one.

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