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What betting splits, DFS advice tell us about Evloev vs. Grundy at UFC Fight Night

We break down the last minute bet splits and make some DFS picks for Movsar Evloev vs. Mike Grundy at UFC Fight Night.

Opponents Movsar Evloev of Russia and Mike Grundy of England face off during the UFC Fight Night weigh-in inside Flash Forum on UFC Fight Island on July 24, 2020 in Yas Island, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. Photo by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images

Update 4:30 p.m.: 15% of the handle has moved towards back towards the favored Evloev as we get closer to fight time.

Movsar Evloev: Opened -215, now -200 (43% of handle, 64% of bets)
Mike Grundy: Opened +170, now +161 (57% of handle, 36% of bets)


Two featherweights with gaudy records face off tonight as Movsar Evloev takes on Mike Grundy at UFC on ESPN 14 live from Fight Island in Abu Dhabi.

Evolev is 12-0 as a cage fighter, finding unanimous decision wins over Seung Woo Choi and Enrique Barzola in his first two UFC bouts. The 26-year-old Russian has seven career stoppages, and had 10 fights in the M-1 Challenge promotion before switching to UFC in 2019. His lands 4.3 strikes per minute are impressive, and he has nine takedowns in just 30 minutes of UFC octagon time so far.

Grundy is 12-1 in his career, and won his UFC debut March of 2019 but hasn’t fought since due to injury and Covid-19 shuttering his fight scheduled for UFC London. The Wigan native fights for Team Kaobon, the same as the main eventer on this card Darren Till. His only UFC appearance so far was a second-round TKO of Nad Narimani, and is a former Commonwealth Games wrestling medalist and Cage Warriors featherweight champion.

Here are the latest betting odds at DraftKings Sportsbook for Movsar Evloev vs. Mike Grundy at UFC Fight Night from Fight Island on July 25th:

Money line odds with betting splits

Movsar Evloev: Opened -215, now -200 (28% of handle, 64% of bets)
Mike Grundy: Opened +170, now +161 (72% of handle, 36% of bets)


DraftKings DFS Salaries

Here are the DraftKings DFS salaries for Movsar Evloev vs. Mike Grundy tonight:

Movsar Evloev: $9,100
Mike Grundy: $7,100

This is a fight you’ll for sure want on your picks tonight, and you might want both sides of it if you’re entering multiple rosters. Evolev has averaged 84.5 DFS points in his two UFC wins so far, while Grundy picked up 105 in his second-round KO stoppage in his only appearance in the promotion. These guys are active and want to score, which should make for not only an entertaining fight but one that should see a stoppage. While Evolev is favored, it’s not such a significant edge where Grundy can just be ignored.

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