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What betting splits, DFS advice tell us about Wood vs. Castaneda at UFC Fight Night

We break down the last minute bet splits and make some DFS picks for Nathaniel Wood vs. John Castaneda at UFC Fight Night.

Opponents Nathaniel Wood of England and John Castaneda face off during the UFC Fight Night weigh-in inside Flash Forum on UFC Fight Island on July 24, 2020 in Yas Island, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. Photo by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images

Update 4:50 p.m.: The odds have remained the same and the splits have only move fractionally for this fight.

Nathaniel Wood: Opened -455 (86% of handle, 91% of bets)
John Castaneda: Opened +320 (14% of handle, 9% of bets)

The opening fight for UFC on ESPN 14 tonight from Fight Island is two bantamweights as Nathaniel Wood takes on John Castaneda live from Abu Dhabi. This fight was originally scheduled for Umar Nurmagomedov, but Castaneda steps in as a replacement for a fighter unable to get to the United Arab Emirates from Dagestan after the passing of his uncle.

Wood is 16-4, and 3-1 in the UFC with three wins via tap out. The 26-year-old from London averages 1.9 takedowns with a 71% accuracy rating. After winning his first three bouts in the promotion, he fell to John Dodson via KO with just 16 seconds remaining in the fight in February. He was the bantamweight champion in the Cage Warriors promotion, and will look to win this on the mat.

Castaneda makes his UFC debut with a 17-4 professional record and 12 career stoppages. He was victorious in Dana White’s Contender Series in 2017, but didn’t earn a contract in a unanimous decision victory. At 28 years old “Sexi Mexi” has mostly been fighting on the Combate Americas circuit. A double major in criminal law and Spanish from the University of Minnesota-Mankato, he left the wrestling team after his freshman season but was fighting in MMA as a professional just two years later.

Here are the latest betting odds at DraftKings Sportsbook for Nathaniel Wood vs. John Castaneda at UFC Fight Night from Fight Island on July 25th:

Money line odds with betting splits

Nathaniel Wood: Opened -455 (86% of handle, 91% of bets)
John Castaneda: Opened +320 (14% of handle, 9% of bets)

DraftKings DFS Salaries

Here are the DraftKings DFS salaries for Nathaniel Wood vs. John Castaneda tonight:

Nathaniel Wood: $9,500
John Castaneda: $6,700

Wood has scored big in his wins, racking up over 102 DFS points in his three UFC victories. he looks likely to get another one against a replacement newcomer here, so the significant price likely still has value. It might ruin your fantasy night early, but it’s probably the correct decision to have Wood as a part of most of your rosters this evening. His game on the mat is strong enough where he can score and submit early this evening.

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