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What betting splits, DFS advice tell us about Vannata vs. Green at UFC Fight Night

We break down the last minute bet splits and make some DFS picks for Lando Vannata vs. Bobby Green at UFC Fight Night.

Opponents Lando Vannata and Bobby Green face off during the UFC Fight Night weigh-in at UFC APEX on July 31, 2020 in Las Vegas, Nevada Photo by Chris Unger/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images

A pair of lightweights trying to enter the rankings get in the octagon tonight when Lando Vannata takes on Bobby Green during UFC Fight Night on ESPN live from Las Vegas.

Vannata is 11-4-2 with an unusual 3-4-2 record in the UFC. He lands 4.72 strikes per minute, but only has two takedowns in his last four fights. At 28 years of age from Toms River, New Jersey, “Groovy” was 8-0 with seven stoppages on the independent circuit before joining the UFC in 2016, but six of his last seven fights have gone to a decision.

Green is the veteran at age 33 with a 25-10-1 record in MMA, and a 6-5-1 UFC record. He’s 2-2 in his last four fights, all unanimous decisions. Nicknamed “King” from Redlands, California, after winning his first two fights in the promotion by stoppage he’s yet to end a fight early as a winner since 2014.

Here are the betting odds at DraftKings Sportsbook for Lando Vannata vs. Bobby Green at UFC Fight Night from Las Vegas on August 1st.

Betting splits

Lando Vannata: -148 (76% of action, 61% of bets)
Bobby Green: +120 (24% of action, 39% of bets)

Here are the DraftKings DFS salaries for Lando Vannata vs. Bobby Green tonight:

DraftKings DFS Salaries

Lando Vannata: $8,200
Bobby Green: $8,000

In DFS the ability to have some stopping power overrides unless there’s an elite statistical activity level with a fighter. This one seems destined to go the distance, and though there are good striking numbers amongst both fighters, they both run into a better opponent than their usual here as they move from mostly preliminary card bouts to the main event. This one is a stay away.

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