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What betting splits, DFS advice tell us about Saint Preux vs. Menifield at UFC Fight Night

We break down the last-minute bet splits and make some DFS picks for Ovince Saint Preux vs. Alonzo Menifield at UFC Fight Night.

Opponents Ovince Saint Preux and Alonzo Menifield face off during the UFC Fight Night weigh-in at UFC APEX on August 21, 2020 in Las Vegas, Nevada. Photo by Chris Unger/Zuffa LLC

UPDATE August 22nd 3:15 p.m.: This fight has been canceled as Saint Preux has tested both positive and negative for Covid-19, and is being held out due to abundance of caution.

The bout has been rescheduled for September 5th.


UPDATE August 22nd 2:50 pm: Below we’ve added bet splits for the method of victory for Saint Preux vs. Menifield tonight.

The co-main event of UFC on ESPN this Saturday is gatekeeper vs. prospect at 205 lbs. as Ovince Saint Preux faces Alonzo Menifield live on ESPN+ from Las Vegas and the Apex facility.

Saint Preux is an exciting fighter that has earned a Performance of The Night bonus in his last three UFC victories. The light heavyweight is 24-14 11 with 11 KO’s and eight submissions in his career in his career, and a 12-9 mark in the UFC. Though he lands just 2.60 significant strikes per minute and 1.27 takedowns per fight, his stoppage rate is very high. His last outing was a split decision loss to Ben Rothwell in Jacksonville on May 13th.

Menifield at 9-1 and 2-1 in the UFC after losing his last bout against Devin Clark via unanimous on June 6th for the first defeat of his career. It was the first fight of his career to reach a third round, and he showed some conditioning issues during the contest. All nine of the wins for the 32-year-old from Dallas, Texas are via stoppage, eight of them by knockout.

After dominating his first two UFC opponents with first-round KO’s, Clark landed more significant strikes 79-39, and had a takedown that put Menifield on the canvas for the first time in the promotion.

Here are the betting odds at DraftKings Sportsbook for Ovince Saint Preux vs. Alonzo Menifield at UFC Fight Night from Las Vegas on August 22nd.

Betting splits

Ovince Saint Preux: +105 (61% of action, 57% of bets)
Alonzo Menifield: -130 (39% of action, 43% of bets)

Method of Victory

Saint Preux vs. Menifield Method of Victory

Outcome Odds % Handle % Bets
Outcome Odds % Handle % Bets
Ovince St. Preux By Submission +260 40% 25%
Ovince St. Preux By Decision +425 25% 7%
Alonzo Menifield By KO, TKO or DQ +130 17% 53%
Ovince St. Preux By KO, TKO or DQ +850 13% 9%
Alonzo Menifield By Decision +450 4% 5%
Alonzo Menifield By Submission +2200 < 1% 1%
Tie +6600 0% 0%

DraftKings DFS Salaries

Ovince Saint Preux: $7,900
Alonzo Menifield: $8,300

Menifield did lose his last fight, but came thisclose to ending Devin Clark in the first round. It will likely put him in better condition for his bout this evening, knowing that it might be a longer fight. He’s favored on the money line, and has averaged over 105 DFS points in each of his wins. We like Menifield here to have some value, especially on a card with so many unknown and untested fighters.

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