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What betting splits, DFS advice tell us about Lawler vs. Magny at UFC Fight Night

We break down the last-minute bet splits and make some DFS picks for Robbie Lawler vs. Neil Magny at UFC Fight Night.

Opponents Robbie Lawler and Neil Magny face off during the UFC Fight Night weigh-in at UFC APEX on August 28, 2020 in Las Vegas, Nevada. Photo by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC

Two ranked welterweights get in the cage for the co-main event of UFC Fight Night Saturday when #13 Robbie Lawler takes on #14 Neil Magny at 170 lbs. live on ESPN+ from Las Vegas.

Robbie Lawler goes by “Ruthless” and is 28-14-1 in MMA. Now at age 38, he made his UFC debut in May of 2002 at UFC 37, and has lost his last three fights to Colby Covington, Ben Askren, and Rafael Dos Anjos. His last win is a unanimous decision over Donald “Cowboy” Cerrone in July of 2017. Despite his ranking, he might be on the cut line for his UFC future depending on tonight’s outcome. He lands 3.57 strikes per minute and 0.71 takedowns per 15 minutes.

“The Hatian Sensation” Magny is 23-8 as a pro, and has won four of his last five. Unanimous decisions over Jingliang Li and Anthony Rocco Martin means he’s looking for his third win of 2020. Tthe 33-year-old averages 3.95 strikes a minute and 2.55 takedowns per full fight, but he does tend to go the distance with just seven knockouts and three submissions in his 23 career victories.

Here are the betting odds at at DraftKings Sportsbook for Robbie Lawler vs. Neil Magny at UFC Fight Night from Las Vegas on August 29th.

Betting splits

Robbie Lawler: -250 (31% of action, 49% of bets)
Neil Magny: +200 (69% of action, 51% of bets)

Outcome Splits

Lawler vs. Magny

Outcome Odds Handle Bets
Outcome Odds Handle Bets
Neil Magny By Submission +750 2% 2%
Neil Magny By Decision -134 50% 51%
Robbie Lawler By Submission +1800 0.10% 0.40%
Neil Magny By KO, TKO or DQ +700 4% 5%
Tie +5000 0.10% 0.40%
Robbie Lawler By Decision +450 12% 9%
Robbie Lawler By KO, TKO or DQ +450 32% 32%

Here are the DraftKings DFS salaries for Robbie Lawler vs. Neil Magny tonight:

DraftKings DFS Salaries

Robbie Lawler: $7,600
Neil Magny: $8,600

Magny is favored here, but not a fantasy favorite. He’s only averaged 75.5 DFS points in his last two fights, and those were both wins. Lawler can also give him a hard enough time where it can be tough to score. The short odds on Magny winning by KO or TKO here are indicative that it’s a longshot for him to get a stoppage. We’ll stay away here.

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