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What betting splits, DFS advice tell us about Lewis vs. Oleinik at UFC Fight Night

We break down the last minute bet splits and make some DFS picks for Derrick Lewis vs. Aleksei Oleinik at UFC Fight Night.

Opponents Derrick Lewis and Aleksei Oleinik of Russia face off during the UFC Fight Night weigh-in at UFC APEX on August 07, 2020 in Las Vegas, Nevada. Photo by Chris Unger/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images

Two Top 10 ranked heavyweights working towards a shot at the UFC heavyweight championship are the main event at UFC Fight Night this Saturday when Derrick Lewis takes on Aleksei Oleinik on ESPN.

Lewis a.k.a “The Black Beast” has a 14-5 record in the UFC, and is 23-7-1 overall with 18 knockout wins and one via submission in his career. Ranked #4 in the division with only 2.53 significant strikes per round, and a takedown less than every 30 minutes of octagon time, his overwhelming power gets stoppages as soon as he connects. He has wins over Francis Ngannou and Alexander Volkov, so he can lay claim to a title shot with a win here.

Oleinik is one of the most experienced fighters in mixed martial arts history with a 59-13-1 record at age 43. “The Boa Constrictor” from Moscow is 8-4 mark in the UFC, with six submissions and a knockout in the promotion, as well as five Performance of The Night bonuses. He lands 3.72 strikes per minute, but tends to want to fight on the mat with 2.41 takedowns per 15 minutes in the octagon.

Here are the betting odds at DraftKings Sportsbook for Derrick Lewis vs. Aleksei Oleinik at UFC Fight Night from Las Vegas on August 8th.

Betting splits

Derrick Lewis: -200 (35% of handle, 62% of bets)
Aleksei Oleinik: +160 (65% of handle, 38% of bets)

Here are the DraftKings DFS salaries for Derrick Lewis vs. Aleksei Oleinik tonight:

DraftKings DFS Salaries

Derrick Lewis: $8,700
Aleksei Oleinik: $7,500

Usually it’s the stand-up fighters that tend to score better, but Oleinik averages 74.3 fantasy points per fight, as opposed to Lewis 61.8 across his UFC career. The sharper action in early money line trading is also on the Russian. There might be better DFS value in other places on this card, but handicapping the winner could the key here as it’s unlikely this bout goes the distance.

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