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What betting splits, DFS advice tell us about Dariush vs. Holtzman at UFC Fight Night

We break down the last minute bet splits and make some DFS picks for Beneil Dariush vs. Scott Holtzman at UFC Fight Night.

Opponents Beneil Dariush of Iran and Scott Holtzman face off during the UFC Fight Night weigh-in at UFC APEX on August 07, 2020 in Las Vegas, Nevada. Photo by Chris Unger/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images

A ranked lightweight faces a talented opponent from a loaded weight class as #14 Beneil Dariush takes on Scott Holtzman at UFC Fight Night on ESPN this Saturday live from Las Vegas. Dariush does enter this fight forfeiting 20% of his purse to Holtzman for missing weight, as he came in at 158 lbs. instead of the limit of 156 lbs.

At 12-4-1 in the UFC and on a four-fight win streak that has propelled him to the Top 15, Dariush is a submission specialist with eight tap-outs and four knockouts of his opponents in his 18 career victories, and he averages 1.8 takedowns per 15 minutes in the octagon. His KO win over Drakkar Klose on March 7th was the third-straight stoppage win for the 31-year-old from Yorba Linda, California.

Holtzman is 14-3 overall in MMA, 7-3 in the UFC. “Hot Sauce” has won five of his last six in the promotion, and is a more active fighter with 4.52 strikes per minute and 2.23 takedowns per match, and won his first Fight of The Night bonus in his last outing, a unanimous decision victory over Jim Miller on February 15th of this year.

Here are the betting odds at DraftKings Sportsbook for Beneil Dariush vs. Scott Holtzman at UFC Fight Night from Las Vegas on August 8th.

Betting splits

Beneil Dariush: -190 (89% of action, 85% of bets)
Scott Holtzman: +150 (11% of action, 15% of bets)

Here are the DraftKings DFS salaries for Beneil Dariush vs. Scott Holtzman tonight:

DraftKings DFS Salaries

Beneil Dariush: $9,100
Scott Holtzman: $7,100

Despite being the underdog, Holtzman might be a better play due to his exciting style that scores points (82.9 DFS points per UFC outing). With his opponent coming in overweight, it’s possibly a spot to score big with very limited salary exposure. Dariush has averaged 105 DFS points in his last three wins, all stoppages, but his salary also means there might not be as much value here. We’ll make sure to put the underdog on some rosters tonight.

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