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What betting splits, DFS advice tell us about Azaitar vs. Worthy at UFC Fight Night

We break down the last-minute bet splits and make some DFS picks for Ottman Azaitar vs. Khama Worthy at UFC Vegas 10 on ESPN+.

Opponents Ottman Azaitar of Germany and Khama Worthy face off during the UFC Fight Night weigh-in at UFC APEX on September 11, 2020 in Las Vegas, Nevada. Photo by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images

Two lightweights on the precipice of the Top 15 are the co-main event of UFC Vegas 10 Saturday when Ottman Azaitar faces Khama Worthy from the Apex facility in Las Vegas.

Azaitar enters with a perfect 12-0 mark in MMA, with 11 of those wins as finishes including nine knockouts. He’s won his only UFC bout so far, a KO of Teemu Packalen on September 7th of 2019 at 3:33 of the first round with this massive punch that earned Performance of The Night. He was forced to serve a 180-day medical suspension for breaking his hand by the Nevada State Athletic Commission for it. Prior to joining the UFC the native of Morocco had won his last four fights all in the Brave Cage Fighting promotion.

Worthy, aka “The Deathstar,” is 16-6 as an MMA professional. He’s won his last seven fights in a row and the last six with a finish. With a 2-0 mark since joining the UFC, the 33-year-old from Pittsburgh, PA averages 4.44 significant strikes per minute.

Here are the latest betting odds at at DraftKings Sportsbook for Ottman Azaitar vs. Khama Worthy at UFC Fight Night from Las Vegas on September 12th

Betting splits

Ottman Azaitar: +110 (44% of action, 46% of bets)
Khama Worthy: -137 (56% of action, 64% of bets)

Outcome Splits

Azaitar vs. Worthy Winning Method

Outcome Odds % Handle % Bets
Outcome Odds % Handle % Bets
Khama Worthy By Decision +425 3% 6%
Khama Worthy By KO, TKO or DQ +165 22% 20%
Khama Worthy By Submission +1000 27% 27%
Ottman Azaitar By KO, TKO or DQ +185 47% 43%
Ottman Azaitar By Submission +1600 1% 2%
Tie +6600 0% 2%
Ottman Azaitar By Decision +500 0% 0%

DraftKings DFS Salaries

Ottman Azaitar: $7,700
Khama Worthy: $8,500

Azaitar’s lack of elite competition on his flawless record is the issue here, but he clearly has elite power. And throw out many of Worthy’s early losses as well, as since he’s become a full-time MMA professional he’s a different fighter.

This is a key fight for rosters as the victor is likely to earn a finish, and it could be an early one. If you’re playing multiple entries, being on both sides might be the best play here. Someone is getting a rocket strapped to their career after this one, just be on who that is.

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