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What betting splits, DFS advice tell us about Modafferi vs. Lee at UFC Fight Night

We break down the last-minute bet splits and make some DFS picks for Roxanne Modafferi vs. Andrea Lee at UFC Vegas 10 on ESPN+.

Opponents Roxanne Modafferi and Andrea Lee face off during the UFC Fight Night weigh-in at UFC APEX on September 11, 2020 in Las Vegas, Nevada. Photo by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images

Two top-10 women’s flyweights battle on the main card Saturday night as #8 Roxanne Modafferi and #9 Andrea Lee appear at UFC Vegas 10 live on ESPN+.

Modafferi enters with a record of 24-17, 3-4 mark in the UFC. Just nine of her wins are via finish, but the 37-year-old that trains full-time at the UFC’s Performance Center in Las Vegas. With 3.04 significant strikes per minute and 1.29 takedowns per three rounds, six of her seven bouts in the promotion have gone the distance.

Lee is 11-4 as an MMA pro, 3-2 record in the UFC and all five of her bouts have gone the distance. Both losses came in her last two fights and were via split decision against Joanne Calderwood and Lauren Murphy. “KGB” averages 5.40 significant strikes per minute and 3.80 takedowns per 15 minute fight.

Here are the latest betting odds at at DraftKings Sportsbook for Roxanne Modafferi vs. Andrea Lee at UFC Fight Night from Las Vegas on September 12th:

Betting splits

Roxanne Modafferi: +230 (29% of action, 28% of bets)
Andrea Lee: -305 (71% of action, 72% of bets)

Outcome Splits

Modafferi vs. Lee Winning Method

Outcome Odds % Handle % Bets
Outcome Odds % Handle % Bets
Andrea Lee By Decision -177 82% 73%
Andrea Lee By KO, TKO or DQ +750 2% 4%
Andrea Lee By Submission +850 1% 2%
Roxanne Modafferi By Decision +333 9% 10%
Roxanne Modafferi By Submission +1100 6% 12%
Roxanne Modafferi By KO, TKO or DQ +1800 0% 0%
Tie +6600 0% 0%

DraftKings DFS Salaries

Roxanne Modafferi: $7,300
Andrea Lee: $8,900

Neither of these fighters can get a finish! Twelve UFC fights between them, one stoppage, and that was in Lee’s debut. Though Lee has quality stats, she’s facing a veteran that can frustrate and hang with her. That’s fantasy poison, so run away from this one.

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