clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

What betting splits, DFS advice tell us about Pereira vs Imadaev at UFC Fight Night

We break down the last-minute bet splits and make some DFS picks for Michel Pereira vs Zelim Imadaev at UFC Fight Night.

Opponents Michel Pereira of Brazil and Zelim Imadaev of Russia face off during the UFC Fight Night weigh-in at UFC APEX on September 04, 2020 in Las Vegas, Nevada. Photo by Chris Unger/Zuffa LLC

A pair of welterweights on losing streaks will see one of them end as Michel Pereira faces Zelim Imadaev at UFC on ESPN 9 Saturday in Las Vegas.

Pereira is 23-11 in MMA, but 1-2 in the UFC. In his last bout against Diego Sanchez in February he was disqualified for an illegal knee by referee Jason Herzog in the third round while well-ahead statistically. The 26-year-old from Para, Brazil averages 3.04 significant strikes per minute with a 51% accuracy rate, and 2.00 takedowns per 15 minutes.

Imadaev is 8-2, with both losses coming without a win since joining the UFC. All eight of his wins on the independent circuit have come via knockout, the last three in the Fight Nights Global promotion. He’s averaged 3.69 strikes per minute with one takedown total in his two UFC bouts.

Here are the betting odds at at DraftKings Sportsbook for Michel Pereira vs Zelim Imadaev at UFC Fight Night from Las Vegas on September 5th:

Betting splits


Michel Pereira: -112 (76% of action, 83% of bets)
Zelim Imadaev: -112 (24% of action, 17% of bets)

Here are the DraftKings DFS salaries for Michel Pereira vs Zelim Imadaev tonight:

Winning Method Splits

Pereira-Imadaev

Outcome Odds % Handle % Bets
Outcome Odds % Handle % Bets
Zelim Imadaev By KO, TKO or DQ +333 66% 17%
Michel Pereira By KO, TKO or DQ +180 27% 60%
Michel Pereira By Decision +450 4% 6%
Zelim Imadaev By Decision +275 1% 11%
Tie +5000 1% 3%
Michel Pereira By Submission +1400 1% 3%
Zelim Imadaev by Submissoin +700 0% 0%

DraftKings DFS Salaries

Michel Pereira: $8,200
Zelim Imadaev: $8,000

It’s a dead-even fight here between two guys with very low activity rates that have lost four in a row combined.

As much as any fight we’ve seen since the UFC returned from the Covid-19 stoppage, this fight is fantasy poison. Just run away as quickly as possible. Or bet Pereira on the money line.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) (IL). Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ/WV/PA), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-522-4700 (NH/CO) or 1-800-BETS OFF (IA). 21+ (18+ NH). NJ/PA/WV/IN/NH/IA/CO/IL only. Eligibility restrictions apply. See draftkings.com/sportsbook for full terms and conditions.