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What betting splits, DFS advice tell us about Romanov vs. Rogerio de Lima at UFC Fight Night

We break down the last-minute bet splits and make some DFS picks for Alexandr Romanov vs. Marcos Rogerio de Lima at UFC Fight Night.

Opponents Alexandr Romanov of Moldova and Marcos Rogerio De Lima of Brazil face off during the UFC Fight Night weigh-in at UFC APEX on September 04, 2020 in Las Vegas, Nevada. Photo by Chris Unger/Zuffa LLC

Update 6:00 p.m. September 5th: Romanov vs. Rogerio de Lima has been canceled due to a positive Covid-19 test by Marcos Rogerio de Lima.

It’s a gatekeeper vs. an undefeated UFC rookie at heavyweight during UFC on ESPN 9 Saturday as Alexandr Romanov faces Marcos Rogerio de Lima live on the preliminary card.

Romanov is 11-0 as a cagefighter with 11 finishes, and makes his debut here. Mostly fighting out of the Eagles Fighting Championship, he has five KO’s and six submissions. The 29-year-old from the Republic of Moldova goes by the nickname “King Kong,” but hasn’t fought since beating Sergio Freitas in the first round in February of 2019.

Rogerio de Lima is 17-6-1, with a 6-4 record in the UFC. The 35-year-old from Sao Paolo, Brazil has 15 finishes, including 12 by knockout. He averages 3.78 significant strikes per minute in the black octagon, and knocked out Ben Sosoli in just 88 seconds in February his last time out.

Here are the betting odds at at DraftKings Sportsbook for Alexandr Romanov vs. Marcos Rogerio de Lima at UFC Fight Night from Las Vegas on September 5th:

Betting splits

Alexandr Romanov: -143 (96% of action, 77% of bets)
Marcos Rogerio de Lima: +115 (4% of action, 23% of bets)

Winning method splits

Romanov-Rogerio de Lima

Outcome Odds % Handle % Bets
Outcome Odds % Handle % Bets
Alexander Romanov By by Submission +320 84% 45%
Marcos Rogerio De Lima By KO, TKO or DQ +190 8% 27%
Alexander Romanov By by KO, TKO or DQ +200 5% 18%
Marcos Rogerio De Lima By Submission +800 2% 2%
Marcos Rogerio De Lima By Decision +800 0% 2%
Tie +6600 0% 2%
Alexander Romanov By by Decision +850 0% 2%

Here are the DraftKings DFS salaries for Alexandr Romanov vs. Marcos Rogerio de Lima tonight:

DraftKings DFS Salaries

Alexandr Romanov: $8,400
Marcos Rogerio de Lima: $7,800

Two guys that tend to end fights early, so this will absolutely have to be on your roster. Romanov not only has 11 stoppages, but nine of them in the first round. Against a UFC fighter that hasn’t been overwhelming in nine fights in the promotion, the Russian Romanov will be worth the salary cap here.

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