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How the public is betting UFC 264: McGregor vs. Poirier

The lightweights aren’t fighting for a title, but there will be plenty of eyeballs on T-Mobile Arena Saturday night anyway.

Conor McGregor, right, and Dustin Poirier are kept apart by UFC President Dana White during a press conference ahead of UFC 264 at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada, USA. Photo By Thomas King/Sportsfile via Getty Images

Perhaps the most anticipated fight since the Ultimate Fighting Championship returned ti having crowds takes place this Saturday night, as UFC 264: McGregor vs. Poirier comes to T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas.

There are 13 fights total on the card, with the main event the third tilt for Conor McGregor and Dustin Poirier inside a UFC octagon. McGregor won their first battle with a first round TKO in 2014, but Poirier returned the favor in the second round of January of 2021.

For two guys with explosive power in their fists, it’s very possible we don’t need the judges for this five-round battle.

Conor McGregor vs. Dustin Poirier

Odds to win

Conor McGregor +105: 50% of handle, 49% of bets
Dustin Poirier -134: 50% of handle, 51% of bets

Winning method

McGregor-Poirier 3 Winning Method

Outcome Odds % Handle % Bets
Outcome Odds % Handle % Bets
Conor McGregor By KO, TKO or DQ +140 43% 31%
Dustin Poirier By KO, TKO or DQ +175 31% 23%
Dustin Poirier By Submission +650 9% 15%
Conor McGregor By Decision +700 6% 11%
Conor McGregor By Submission +2000 6% 9%
Dustin Poirier By Decision +550 4% 6%
Tie +6600 3% 5%

There are a total of 13 fights on the card for Saturday night, and for the rest of the card, here are the current bet splits on the winner from DraftKings Sportsbook:

UFC 264 Bet Splits

Fighter Odds % Handle % Bets
Fighter Odds % Handle % Bets
Alen Amedovski -136 38% 64%
Yaozong Hu +110 62% 36%
Zhalgas Zhumagulov -345 92% 88%
Jerome Rivera +260 8% 12%
Omari Akhmedov +142 43% 41%
Brad Tavares -177 57% 59%
Jessica Eye +162 15% 17%
Jennifer Maia -200 85% 83%
Dricus Du Plessis -118 74% 57%
Trevin Giles -106 26% 43%
Ryan Hall +195 46% 44%
Ilia Topuria -250 54% 56%
Niko Price +141 35% 37%
Michel Pereira -177 65% 63%
Carlos Condit +150 41% 39%
Max Griffin -190 59% 61%
Sean O'Malley -835 87% 87%
Kris Moutinho +525 13% 13%
Irene Aldana -124 34% 55%
Yana Kunitskaya +100 66% 45%
Tai Tuivasa -139 61% 64%
Greg Hardy +110 39% 36%
Gilbert Burns +126 47% 47%
Stephen Thompson -157 53% 53%

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